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2009-02-01 5:25 AM
in reply to: #1935872

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Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken
breckview - 2009-01-29 12:47 PM

dexter - 2009-01-29 11:00 AM
Just wait till 5 years down the road when some one needs to pay back that 850 billion dollars.

The national debt will NEVER be repaid. The whole "our children will have to pay it back" stuff is nonsense. The US will eventually default or the debt will monetized.

Anybody catch this tiny bit of news yesterday?

"The Federal Reserve on Wednesday said it is prepared to buy long-term government debt if that would help improve credit conditions and signaled some concern that deflation risks were rising."
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20090128/ts_nm/us_usa_fed_policy_8

which basically means,

"The third source of financing is for the Federal Reserve to monetize the debt. In other words, the Treasury prints bonds and the Fed purchases them by printing money. The supply of money thus expands dramatically in relation to goods and services, and high inflation, possibly hyperinflation, would engulf America."
http://onlinejournal.com/artman/publish/article_4236.shtml

Get ready for quite a ride and position yourselves accordingly.


Great points, however, we are already there and have been so since the end of Q3 '09. Commercial lending has been putting arbitrary floor rates in for most lending based upon risk. Since the last rate drop we have not seen a floor rate below 6%. Get ready for the ride is an apt comment as it will definitely one bumpy ride.


2009-02-01 5:34 AM
in reply to: #1936612

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Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken
AcesFull - 2009-01-29 6:42 PM

bradword - 2009-01-29 6:35 PM When you try to sneak it on the American people and call it a stimulus package, yeah I say it's bad. If you bring it as what it is and pass the bills as are needed, then I say it's the choice of the people.

The Bush stimulus: Give Billions to banks with no conditions and no oversight.  Hope that the money "trickles down" through the economy.

The Obama stimulus: Give billions to rebuild deteriorating infrastructure, improve schools, add police, develop green technology and provide tax relief to millions.  Hope that the money "bubbles up" through the economy.

We are not going to build this country back up by giving money to banks to cover bad debt.  We are going to build the country back up by making sure there are jobs to go around so that people can pay their own debts, and buy goods and services.

How do you want to save GM?  You can give them billions directly, or you can make sure that consumers have jobs so they can afford cars, and make sure that consumers with jobs are not so afraid of losing jobs that they choose to not buy new cars.



Hate to bust your bubble here, but, GM will be back at the table asking for another hand out before the end of the 2nd quarter this year. Let's face it, their operating model does not work and needs a complete overhaul and the only way that this will be completed is through bankruptcy. Say what you will, but, Mr. Anderson it is inevitable. Now lets see if GM claims their name is Neo.
2009-02-01 9:21 AM
in reply to: #1935628

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Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken

I find the whole argument in favor of keeping/creating manufacturing jobs here as part of the stimulus interesting.  We're a service economy these days, not a manfucturing one.  Should we revert, put more people back to work producing goods rather than services?  Not sure I have an answer for it either.

I do believe that doing nothing will make the recession worse.  I also believe it will take a minor miracle for this stimulus package to have the necessary effect given the amount of crap currently in the House version.

2009-02-01 10:37 AM
in reply to: #1938812

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Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken

Tri'nNC - 2009-01-31 10:31 AM Wrong...the housing bubble/credit crisis occurred due to (yes) those poor lending standards but those standards were imposed by the government.  Check out the evolution of the Community Reinvestment Act starting back in the 70's and the changes made to it in 95 creating the "subprime" market.  So the problem didn't start with the banks it started with our government imposing on the banks.

Might want to check your facts. Randall Krozner, one of the Fed Governors, just released a report in December that showed that the CRA had very little to do with the subprime mess.

 

http://www.reuters.com/article/bondsNews/idUSN0332633420081203

2009-02-02 7:48 AM
in reply to: #1939810

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Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken
JoshR - 2009-02-01 11:37 AM

Tri'nNC - 2009-01-31 10:31 AM Wrong...the housing bubble/credit crisis occurred due to (yes) those poor lending standards but those standards were imposed by the government.  Check out the evolution of the Community Reinvestment Act starting back in the 70's and the changes made to it in 95 creating the "subprime" market.  So the problem didn't start with the banks it started with our government imposing on the banks.

Might want to check your facts. Randall Krozner, one of the Fed Governors, just released a report in December that showed that the CRA had very little to do with the subprime mess.

 

http://www.reuters.com/article/bondsNews/idUSN0332633420081203



Lets not let the facts get in the way of a perfectly good partisan economic debate!! Shame on you!!
2009-02-02 10:25 AM
in reply to: #1938841

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Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken

breckview - 2009-01-31 12:07 PM
Buying things like TVs, DVDs and rings on credit cards IS bad debt.  These items do not appreciate.
I'm going to respectfully disagree. First off, doing whatever you have to do to propose marriage to someone you love is a good investment. Investment return is not always about bigger numbers on a bank statement.

We are talking about financial equations here.  You cannot bring emotion into the argument.   While it might be a factor in your decision it does not change the fact that it is non-appreciating debt.

Besides if the big ring is the only reason the woman will marry you then you have IMHO chosen the wrong woman.

But others are very confident that some day they will be able to control/increase their incomes. For them, I see nothing wrong with taking some risk now and buying things on credit that will enrich their current life experience.

This is the attitude that some had a few years back when they bought a house WELL beyond their means.  That said "well this house will appreciate and I'll be making more money in a few years so it'll be ok".

Then the market crashed and some of these people got laid off.  

You CANNOT buy things now and HOPE that you can pay them off in the future.  This is a bad business decision plain and simple.



2009-02-02 10:30 AM
in reply to: #1941121

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Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken
TriRSquared - 2009-02-02 11:25 AM

breckview - 2009-01-31 12:07 PM
Buying things like TVs, DVDs and rings on credit cards IS bad debt.  These items do not appreciate.
I'm going to respectfully disagree. First off, doing whatever you have to do to propose marriage to someone you love is a good investment. Investment return is not always about bigger numbers on a bank statement.

We are talking about financial equations here.  You cannot bring emotion into the argument.   While it might be a factor in your decision it does not change the fact that it is non-appreciating debt.

Besides if the big ring is the only reason the woman will marry you then you have IMHO chosen the wrong woman.

But others are very confident that some day they will be able to control/increase their incomes. For them, I see nothing wrong with taking some risk now and buying things on credit that will enrich their current life experience.

This is the attitude that some had a few years back when they bought a house WELL beyond their means.  That said "well this house will appreciate and I'll be making more money in a few years so it'll be ok".

Then the market crashed and some of these people got laid off.  

You CANNOT buy things now and HOPE that you can pay them off in the future.  This is a bad business decision plain and simple.

TRS, great responses.

2009-02-02 11:21 AM
in reply to: #1941121

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Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken
TriRSquared - 2009-02-02 11:25 AM

You CANNOT buy things now and HOPE that you can pay them off in the future.  This is a bad business decision plain and simple.



I'm having a hard time justifying this in my head - and partly maybe I attributing the statements of others you. If that is the case let me know and disregard my post.

It has been stated above, presumably by a non-Obama supporter, that taxes should be cut so businesses could reinvest that money in newer equipment that will allow them to produce more product more efficiently (and presumably cheaper). I know for a fact that many entreprenuers require starting capital to get off the ground. Most people with good ideas do not have enough money in the bank to do this on their own - often then spend all they have to simply develop the idea and or product, and require additional funding to get them through the development period.

Your post above seems to suggest that getting this capital is an unwise business decision. That is counter to just about every capitalist theory I have ever heard. As others have stated above, if only the rich could start a business, well, only the rich will start businesses and the working folks are left out of the American dream. On top of that, innovation will suffer because only big business will guide products, and will soon monopolize every market where large amounts of capital are required.

I disagree with your position that seeking capital (debt) is an unwise decision. In fact, it is is exactly necessary in our economy.
2009-02-02 11:51 AM
in reply to: #1935628

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Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken

I never said that purchasing capital is a bad decision.  There is a big difference between

a) buying a TV (or ring or insert item here) on a credit card and hoping that you'll make enough money next year to cover it

and

b) purchasing a $100k piece of machinery for your business because you cannot keep up with production

Yes in both cases you are hoping that the future will bring you the $ to cover you debt but in the latter cases you are going into debt to try to produce more income for the company.  Presumably you also did not buy the machinery when your company was sliding into bankruptcy.  The TV does not help produce income.  It is a luxury item.

In my statement above I could have been a bit more specific.  I'm just frustrated with the instant gratification to which this society has become addicted.

This is also why I was saying that education is "good debt".

And thanks for approaching this with a level head and measured words.  It's hard to have a civil conversation in here sometimes.



Edited by TriRSquared 2009-02-02 11:52 AM
2009-02-02 12:42 PM
in reply to: #1939725

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Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken
ColdRingo6 - 2009-02-01 9:21 AM

I find the whole argument in favor of keeping/creating manufacturing jobs here as part of the stimulus interesting.  We're a service economy these days, not a manfucturing one.  Should we revert, put more people back to work producing goods rather than services?  Not sure I have an answer for it either.

I do believe that doing nothing will make the recession worse.  I also believe it will take a minor miracle for this stimulus package to have the necessary effect given the amount of crap currently in the House version.

One big benefit of manufacturing is that each manufacturing job creates 2 support jobs.

Someone builds the product, someone warehouses it, and someone transports it. So it is somewhat worthwhile to invest in manufacturing goods that we have competive advantages in.  



Edited by Jackemy 2009-02-02 12:45 PM
2009-02-02 1:02 PM
in reply to: #1941330

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Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken
TriRSquared - 2009-02-02 12:51 PM

I never said that purchasing capital is a bad decision.  There is a big difference between

a) buying a TV (or ring or insert item here) on a credit card and hoping that you'll make enough money next year to cover it

and

b) purchasing a $100k piece of machinery for your business because you cannot keep up with production

Yes in both cases you are hoping that the future will bring you the $ to cover you debt but in the latter cases you are going into debt to try to produce more income for the company.  Presumably you also did not buy the machinery when your company was sliding into bankruptcy.  The TV does not help produce income.  It is a luxury item.

In my statement above I could have been a bit more specific.  I'm just frustrated with the instant gratification to which this society has become addicted.

This is also why I was saying that education is "good debt".

And thanks for approaching this with a level head and measured words.  It's hard to have a civil conversation in here sometimes.



Fair point.

Truth be told, this is one of the tamer places on the web to have a discussion. Most other forums I have attended ALWAYS deteriorate into name-calling and flaming as soon as a post is challenged for factual reasons. It usually takes 2 or 3 pages for that to happen here.


2009-02-02 4:07 PM
in reply to: #1941440

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Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken

Jackemy - 2009-02-02 12:42 PM
ColdRingo6 - 2009-02-01 9:21 AM

I find the whole argument in favor of keeping/creating manufacturing jobs here as part of the stimulus interesting.  We're a service economy these days, not a manfucturing one.  Should we revert, put more people back to work producing goods rather than services?  Not sure I have an answer for it either.

I do believe that doing nothing will make the recession worse.  I also believe it will take a minor miracle for this stimulus package to have the necessary effect given the amount of crap currently in the House version.

One big benefit of manufacturing is that each manufacturing job creates 2 support jobs.

Someone builds the product, someone warehouses it, and someone transports it. So it is somewhat worthwhile to invest in manufacturing goods that we have competive advantages in.  


 

The big issue with this is that the amount of goods that we have a competitive advantage in is shrinking.


2009-02-02 5:17 PM
in reply to: #1941945

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Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken
JoshR - 2009-02-02 4:07 PM

Jackemy - 2009-02-02 12:42 PM
ColdRingo6 - 2009-02-01 9:21 AM

I find the whole argument in favor of keeping/creating manufacturing jobs here as part of the stimulus interesting.  We're a service economy these days, not a manfucturing one.  Should we revert, put more people back to work producing goods rather than services?  Not sure I have an answer for it either.

I do believe that doing nothing will make the recession worse.  I also believe it will take a minor miracle for this stimulus package to have the necessary effect given the amount of crap currently in the House version.

One big benefit of manufacturing is that each manufacturing job creates 2 support jobs.

Someone builds the product, someone warehouses it, and someone transports it. So it is somewhat worthwhile to invest in manufacturing goods that we have competive advantages in.  


 

The big issue with this is that the amount of goods that we have a competitive advantage in is shrinking.




Actually with countries overseas having increased wages the benefit to ship those jobs overseas has been shrinking.

There was an article in one of the Chicago papers about this a couple weeks ago - I will see if I can find it.
2009-02-02 7:03 PM
in reply to: #1941121

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Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken
TriRSquared - 2009-02-02 9:25 AM
We are talking about financial equations here.  You cannot bring emotion into the argument.

I disagree. The emotional aspect of business and investing is just as important as the "financial equations".

Then the market crashed and some of these people got laid off.

I think I was pretty clear when I said,
"Obviously if you have no entreprenural abilites or desires, you are stuck with a fixed income and therefore should live within your current means."  

You CANNOT buy things now and HOPE that you can pay them off in the future.  This is a bad business decision plain and simple.

It ain't so "plain and simple". You are ignoring the non-monetary returns that come from "things".
2009-02-02 7:13 PM
in reply to: #1942051

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Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken
Wolff27 - 2009-02-02 6:17 PM

JoshR - 2009-02-02 4:07 PM

Jackemy - 2009-02-02 12:42 PM
ColdRingo6 - 2009-02-01 9:21 AM

I find the whole argument in favor of keeping/creating manufacturing jobs here as part of the stimulus interesting.  We're a service economy these days, not a manfucturing one.  Should we revert, put more people back to work producing goods rather than services?  Not sure I have an answer for it either.

I do believe that doing nothing will make the recession worse.  I also believe it will take a minor miracle for this stimulus package to have the necessary effect given the amount of crap currently in the House version.

One big benefit of manufacturing is that each manufacturing job creates 2 support jobs.

Someone builds the product, someone warehouses it, and someone transports it. So it is somewhat worthwhile to invest in manufacturing goods that we have competive advantages in.  


 

The big issue with this is that the amount of goods that we have a competitive advantage in is shrinking.




Actually with countries overseas having increased wages the benefit to ship those jobs overseas has been shrinking.

There was an article in one of the Chicago papers about this a couple weeks ago - I will see if I can find it.


This is accurate, from what I have read, and experienced. Certain jobs WERE sent overseas, but they have begun to come back as businesses have learned that when you factor in all the extra support required to keep someone working in a foreign land, there isn't so much of a savings anymore. I suspect with the shrinking economy (I have NO evidence to back this up - simply a gut feeling) and world recession, money made in the US will tend to stay in the US.
2009-02-03 12:17 PM
in reply to: #1936508

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Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken
pengy - 2009-01-29 4:27 PM

bradword - 2009-01-29 5:20 PM

This isn't a stimulus package. Lets call it what it is. A second budget above and beyond the one they are already overspending on. No pork in bills? What happens when the WHOLE bill is pork? This is just totally idiocy. Bush started stupid bailouts and now Obama is trying to 1 up him.

I don't think people really understand how big 850 billion truly is. If you had $850 BILLION at the birth of Christ, and spent 1 Million dollars EVERY DAY, you still would have over $100 Billion left over!

850,000,000,000.00 is crazy! Stop the bleeding.


I'm sorry, but when you have almost unanimous agreements among top economists that government spending is the best way to soften the blow of the recession - I tend to agree with them. The issue is in how to spend it (ie tax cuts or direct government spending).



So much for that Pengy

"

There is no disagreement that we need action by our government, a recovery plan that will help to jumpstart the economy."


- PRESIDENT-ELECT BARACK OBAMA, JANUARY 9 , 2009


I received this because the local university in our town, MTSU, has a Nobel laureate in economics and this list was passed around locally. Oh and he signed off disagreeing with Obama as well...




With all due respect Mr. President, that is not true.

Notwithstanding reports that all economists are now Keynesians and that we all support a big increase in the burden of government, we do not believe that more government spending is a way to improve economic performance. More government spending by Hoover and Roosevelt did not pull the United States economy out of the Great Depression in the 1930s. More government spending did not solve Japan's "lost decade" in the 1990s. As such, it is a triumph of hope over experience to believe that more government spending will help the U.S. today. To improve the economy, policy makers should focus on reforms that remove impediments to work, saving, investment and production. Lower tax rates and a reduction in the burden of government are the best ways of using fiscal policy to boost growth.

Burton Abrams, Univ. of Delaware
Douglas Adie, Ohio University
Ryan Amacher, Univ. of Texas at Arlington
J.J. Arias, Georgia College & State University
Howard Baetjer, Jr., Towson University
Stacie Beck, Univ. of Delaware
Don Bellante, Univ. of South Florida
James Bennett, George Mason University
Bruce Benson, Florida State University
Sanjai Bhagat, Univ. of Colorado at Boulder
Mark Bils, Univ. of Rochester
Alberto Bisin, New York University
Walter Block, Loyola University New Orleans
Cecil Bohanon, Ball State University
Michele Boldrin, Washington University in St. Louis
Donald Booth, Chapman University
Michael Bordo, Rutgers University
Samuel Bostaph, Univ. of Dallas
Scott Bradford, Brigham Young University
Genevieve Briand, Eastern Washington University
George Brower, Moravian College
James Buchanan, Nobel laureate
Richard Burdekin, Claremont McKenna College
Henry Butler, Northwestern University
William Butos, Trinity College
Peter Calcagno, College of Charleston
Bryan Caplan, George Mason University
Art Carden, Rhodes College
James Cardon, Brigham Young University
Dustin Chambers, Salisbury University
Emily Chamlee-Wright, Beloit College
V.V. Chari, Univ. of Minnesota
Barry Chiswick, Univ. of Illinois at Chicago
Lawrence Cima, John Carroll University
J.R. Clark, Univ. of Tennessee at Chattanooga
Gian Luca Clementi, New York University
R. Morris Coats, Nicholls State University
John Cochran, Metropolitan State College
John Cochrane, Univ. of Chicago
John Cogan, Hoover Institution, Stanford University
John Coleman, Duke University
Boyd Collier, Tarleton State University
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Lee Coppock, Univ. of Virginia
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Kenneth Elzinga, Univ. of Virginia
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Fred Foldvary, Santa Clara University
Murray Frank, Univ. of Minnesota
Peter Frank, Wingate University
Timothy Fuerst, Bowling Green State University
B. Delworth Gardner, Brigham Young University
John Garen, Univ. of Kentucky
Rick Geddes, Cornell University
Aaron Gellman, Northwestern University
William Gerdes, Clarke College
Michael Gibbs, Univ. of Chicago
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Rodolfo Gonzalez, San Jose State University
Richard Gordon, Penn State University
Peter Gordon, Univ. of Southern California
Ernie Goss, Creighton University
Paul Gregory, Univ. of Houston
Earl Grinols, Baylor University
Daniel Gropper, Auburn University
R.W. Hafer, Southern Illinois
University, Edwardsville
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Steve Hanke, Johns Hopkins
Stephen Happel, Arizona State University
Frank Hefner, College of Charleston
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David Henderson, Hoover Institution, Stanford University
Robert Herren, North Dakota State University
Gailen Hite, Columbia University
Steven Horwitz, St. Lawrence University
John Howe, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia
Jeffrey Hummel, San Jose State University
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Jonathan Karpoff, Univ. of Washington
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Naveen Khanna, Michigan State University
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Daniel Klein, George Mason University
Paul Koch, Univ. of Kansas
Narayana Kocherlakota, Univ. of Minnesota
Marek Kolar, Delta College
Roger Koppl, Fairleigh Dickinson University
Kishore Kulkarni, Metropolitan State College of Denver
Deepak Lal, UCLA
George Langelett, South Dakota State University
James Larriviere, Spring Hill College
Robert Lawson, Auburn University
John Levendis, Loyola University New Orleans
David Levine, Washington University in St. Louis
Peter Lewin, Univ. of Texas at Dallas
Dean Lillard, Cornell University
Zheng Liu, Emory University
Alan Lockard, Binghampton University
Edward Lopez, San Jose State University
John Lunn, Hope College
Glenn MacDonald, Washington
University in St. Louis
Michael Marlow, California
Polytechnic State University
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Dale Matcheck, Northwood University
Deirdre McCloskey, Univ. of Illinois, Chicago
John McDermott, Univ. of South Carolina
Joseph McGarrity, Univ. of Central Arkansas
Roger Meiners, Univ. of Texas at Arlington
Allan Meltzer, Carnegie Mellon University
John Merrifield, Univ. of Texas at San Antonio
James Miller III, George Mason University
Jeffrey Miron, Harvard University
Thomas Moeller, Texas Christian University
John Moorhouse, Wake Forest University
Andrea Moro, Vanderbilt University
Andrew Morriss, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Michael Munger, Duke University
Kevin Murphy, Univ. of Southern California
Richard Muth, Emory University
Charles Nelson, Univ. of Washington
Seth Norton, Wheaton College
Lee Ohanian, Univ. of California, Los Angeles
Lydia Ortega, San Jose State University
Evan Osborne, Wright State University
Randall Parker, East Carolina University
Donald Parsons, George Washington University
Sam Peltzman, Univ. of Chicago
Mark Perry, Univ. of Michigan, Flint
Christopher Phelan, Univ. of Minnesota
Gordon Phillips, Univ. of Maryland
Michael Pippenger, Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks
Tomasz Piskorski, Columbia University
Brennan Platt, Brigham Young University
Joseph Pomykala, Towson University
William Poole, Univ. of Delaware
Barry Poulson, Univ. of Colorado at Boulder
Benjamin Powell, Suffolk University
Edward Prescott, Nobel laureate
Gary Quinlivan, Saint Vincent College
Reza Ramazani, Saint Michael's College
Adriano Rampini, Duke University
Eric Rasmusen, Indiana University
Mario Rizzo, New York University
Richard Roll, Univ. of California, Los Angeles
Robert Rossana, Wayne State University
James Roumasset, Univ. of Hawaii at Manoa
John Rowe, Univ. of South Florida
Charles Rowley, George Mason University
Juan Rubio-Ramirez, Duke University
Roy Ruffin, Univ. of Houston
Kevin Salyer, Univ. of California, Davis
Pavel Savor, Univ. of Pennsylvania
Ronald Schmidt, Univ. of Rochester
Carlos Seiglie, Rutgers University
William Shughart II, Univ. of Mississippi
Charles Skipton, Univ. of Tampa
James Smith, Western Carolina University
Vernon Smith, Nobel laureate
Lawrence Southwick, Jr., Univ. at Buffalo
Dean Stansel, Florida Gulf Coast University
Houston Stokes, Univ. of Illinois at Chicago
Brian Strow, Western Kentucky University
Shirley Svorny, California State
University, Northridge
John Tatom, Indiana State University
Wade Thomas, State University of New York at Oneonta
Henry Thompson, Auburn University
Alex Tokarev, The King's College
Edward Tower, Duke University
Leo Troy, Rutgers University
David Tuerck, Suffolk University
Charlotte Twight, Boise State University
Kamal Upadhyaya, Univ. of New Haven
Charles Upton, Kent State University
T. Norman Van Cott, Ball State University
Richard Vedder, Ohio University
Richard Wagner, George Mason University
Douglas M. Walker, College of Charleston
Douglas O. Walker, Regent University
Christopher Westley, Jacksonville State University
Lawrence White, Univ. of Missouri at St. Louis
Walter Williams, George Mason University
Doug Wills, Univ. of Washington Tacoma
Dennis Wilson, Western Kentucky University
Gary Wolfram, Hillsdale College
Huizhong Zhou, Western Michigan University
Additional economists who have signed the statement
Lee Adkins, Oklahoma State University
William Albrecht, Univ. of Iowa
Donald Alexander, Western Michigan University
Geoffrey Andron, Austin Community College
Nathan Ashby, Univ. of Texas at El Paso
George Averitt, Purdue North Central University
Charles Baird, California State University, East Bay
Timothy Bastian, Creighton University
John Bethune, Barton College
Robert Bise, Orange Coast College
Karl Borden, University of Nebraska
Donald Boudreaux, George Mason University
Ivan Brick, Rutgers University
Phil Bryson, Brigham Young University
Richard Burkhauser, Cornell University
Jim Butkiewicz, Univ. of Delaware
Richard Cebula, Armstrong Atlantic State University
Don Chance, Louisiana State University
Robert Chatfield, Univ. of Nevada, Las Vegas
Lloyd Cohen, George Mason University
Peter Colwell, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Michael Connolly, Univ. of Miami
Jim Couch, Univ. of North Alabama
Eleanor Craig, Univ. of Delaware
Michael Daniels, Columbus State University
A. Edward Day, Univ. of Texas at Dallas
Stephen Dempsey, Univ. of Vermont
Allan DeSerpa, Arizona State University
William Dewald, Ohio State University
Jeff Dorfman, Univ. of Georgia
Lanny Ebenstein, Univ. of California, Santa Barbara
Michael Erickson, The College of Idaho
Jack Estill, San Jose State University
Dorla Evans, Univ. of Alabama in Huntsville
Frank Falero, California State University, Bakersfield
Daniel Feenberg, National Bureau of Economic Research
Eric Fisher, California Polytechnic State University
William Ford, Middle Tennessee State University
Ralph Frasca, Univ. of Dayton
Joseph Giacalone, St. John's University
Adam Gifford, California State Unviersity, Northridge
Otis Gilley, Louisiana Tech University
J. Edward Graham, University of North Carolina at Wilmington
Richard Grant, Lipscomb University
Gauri-Shankar Guha, Arkansas State University
Darren Gulla, Univ. of Kentucky
Dennis Halcoussis, California State University, Northridge
Richard Hart, Miami University
James Hartley, Mount Holyoke College
Thomas Hazlett, George Mason University
Scott Hein, Texas Tech University
John Hoehn, Michigan State University
Daniel Houser, George Mason University
Thomas Howard, University of Denver
Chris Hughen, Univ. of Denver
Marcus Ingram, Univ. of Tampa
Joseph Jadlow, Oklahoma State University
Sherry Jarrell, Wake Forest University
Robert Krol, California State University, Northridge
James Kurre, Penn State Erie
Tom Lehman, Indiana Wesleyan University
W. Cris Lewis, Utah State University
Stan Liebowitz, Univ. of Texas at Dallas
Anthony Losasso, Univ. of Illinois at Chicago
John Lott, Jr., Univ. of Maryland
Keith Malone, Univ. of North Alabama
Henry Manne, George Mason University
Richard Marcus, Univ. of Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Timothy Mathews, Kennesaw State University
John Matsusaka, Univ. of Southern California
Thomas Mayor, Univ. of Houston
W. Douglas McMillin, Louisiana State University
Mario Miranda, The Ohio State University
Ed Miseta, Penn State Erie
James Moncur, Univ. of Hawaii at Manoa
Charles Moss, Univ. of Florida
Tim Muris, George Mason University
John Murray, Univ. of Toledo
David Mustard, Univ. of Georgia
Steven Myers, Univ. of Akron
Dhananjay Nanda, University of Miami
Stephen Parente, Univ. of Minnesota
Douglas Patterson, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and University
Timothy Perri, Appalachian State University
Mark Pingle, Univ. of Nevada, Reno
Richard Rawlins, Missouri Southern State University
Thomas Rhee, California State University, Long Beach
Christine Ries, Georgia Institute of Technology
Nancy Roberts, Arizona State University
Larry Ross, Univ. of Alaska Anchorage
Timothy Roth, Univ. of Texas at El Paso
Atulya Sarin, Santa Clara University
Thomas Saving, Texas A&M University
Eric Schansberg, Indiana University Southeast
Alan Shapiro, Univ. of Southern California
Frank Spreng, McKendree University
Judith Staley Brenneke, John Carroll University
John E. Stapleford, Eastern University
Courtenay Stone, Ball State University
Avanidhar Subrahmanyam, UCLA
Scott Sumner, Bentley University
Clifford Thies, Shenandoah University
William Trumbull, West Virginia University
Gustavo Ventura, Univ. of Iowa
Marc Weidenmier, Claremont McKenna College
Robert Whaples, Wake Forest University
Gene Wunder, Washburn University
John Zdanowicz, Florida International University
Jerry Zimmerman, Univ. of Rochester
Joseph Zoric, Franciscan University of Steubenville

"


2009-02-03 12:24 PM
in reply to: #1935628

User image

Master
2808
2000500100100100
, Minnesota
Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken
2009-02-03 12:29 PM
in reply to: #1935628

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Pro
6838
5000100050010010010025
Tejas
Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken
 Killefer and Daschle both fell on their sword. Change is on the way........
2009-02-03 12:35 PM
in reply to: #1942223

User image

Champion
7347
5000200010010010025
SRQ, FL
Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken

breckview - 2009-02-02 8:03 PM
TriRSquared - 2009-02-02 9:25 AM We are talking about financial equations here.  You cannot bring emotion into the argument.
I disagree. The emotional aspect of business and investing is just as important as the "financial equations".
Then the market crashed and some of these people got laid off.
I think I was pretty clear when I said, "Obviously if you have no entreprenural abilites or desires, you are stuck with a fixed income and therefore should live within your current means."  
You CANNOT buy things now and HOPE that you can pay them off in the future.  This is a bad business decision plain and simple.
It ain't so "plain and simple". You are ignoring the non-monetary returns that come from "things".

You can get "touch feely" all you want but the last time I checked:

2+2=4... not 2+2+"feelings of joy and happiness"=5

I'm not saying that emotions DO NOT enter into decisions.  I'm saying that emotions do not make a mathematically bad decision, a mathematically good one.

I can feel good about buying a $1/2 million dollar machining center but if that sucker is not adding to my bottom line it's a bad decision.



Edited by TriRSquared 2009-02-03 12:38 PM
2009-02-03 12:38 PM
in reply to: #1943408

Subject: ...
This user's post has been ignored.
2009-02-03 4:01 PM
in reply to: #1943447

Master
1651
10005001002525
Breckenridge, CO
Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken
TriRSquared - 2009-02-03 11:35 AM
You can get "touch feely" all you want but the last time I checked:

2+2=4... not 2+2+"feelings of joy and happiness"=5

I'm not saying that emotions DO NOT enter into decisions.  I'm saying that emotions do not make a mathematically bad decision, a mathematically good one.

I can feel good about buying a $1/2 million dollar machining center but if that sucker is not adding to my bottom line it's a bad decision.



OK let's talk math. After all financial mathematics is what I do...

People spend about 10 hours/day sleeping/eating/hygene/etc. That leaves 14 hours per day to pursue increasing assets by selling one's time. Therefore, time is obviously an asset just like cash on account. Most people spend 7 hrs/day working including commute. That leaves 7 hours per day, every one of which, that if not spent working results in a reduction of potential monetary assets and is therefore an expense (opportunity cost).

So if one's time is worth $25/hr after tax, the math says 7*365*25=$63,875 per year is being lost by not working those hours. Remove emotion and go straight off the math and one has to wonder why anyone would pass up that kind of extra money. That is exactly how the working poor of this country operate and why they can never get ahead.

Further one has to REALLY wonder why you'd choose to pursue triathlon and especially waste time talking about it on the internet. After all the math says that every second wasted is an expense exactly the same as paying interest on a new car.

Could it possibly be that there are non-monetary returns you receive from spending those valuable extra hours doing something besides chasing the buck? Could it also be that others get non-monetary returns from different things? Too "touchy feely" for ya?

That reminds me, it's time for me to waste some of my assets on skiing with my dog...

Edited by breckview 2009-02-03 4:03 PM


2009-02-03 4:09 PM
in reply to: #1935628

Champion
7347
5000200010010010025
SRQ, FL
Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken

The time I spend doing tris or arguing with you on the internet is time I own.

I am not borrowing against time I do not have.  That is the difference.

I never said that people should not buy things that make them happy.  I do it all the time.  I said people should not incur "bad" debt to get the things that make them happy.

Your dog skis?  Cool!



Edited by TriRSquared 2009-02-03 4:10 PM
2009-02-03 4:54 PM
in reply to: #1943384

Houston
Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken
bradword - 2009-02-03 12:17 PM

pengy - 2009-01-29 4:27 PM

bradword - 2009-01-29 5:20 PM

This isn't a stimulus package. Lets call it what it is. A second budget above and beyond the one they are already overspending on. No pork in bills? What happens when the WHOLE bill is pork? This is just totally idiocy. Bush started stupid bailouts and now Obama is trying to 1 up him.

I don't think people really understand how big 850 billion truly is. If you had $850 BILLION at the birth of Christ, and spent 1 Million dollars EVERY DAY, you still would have over $100 Billion left over!

850,000,000,000.00 is crazy! Stop the bleeding.


I'm sorry, but when you have almost unanimous agreements among top economists that government spending is the best way to soften the blow of the recession - I tend to agree with them. The issue is in how to spend it (ie tax cuts or direct government spending).



So much for that Pengy

"

There is no disagreement that we need action by our government, a recovery plan that will help to jumpstart the economy."


- PRESIDENT-ELECT BARACK OBAMA, JANUARY 9 , 2009


I received this because the local university in our town, MTSU, has a Nobel laureate in economics and this list was passed around locally. Oh and he signed off disagreeing with Obama as well...




With all due respect Mr. President, that is not true.

Notwithstanding reports that all economists are now Keynesians and that we all support a big increase in the burden of government, we do not believe that more government spending is a way to improve economic performance. More government spending by Hoover and Roosevelt did not pull the United States economy out of the Great Depression in the 1930s. More government spending did not solve Japan's "lost decade" in the 1990s. As such, it is a triumph of hope over experience to believe that more government spending will help the U.S. today. To improve the economy, policy makers should focus on reforms that remove impediments to work, saving, investment and production. Lower tax rates and a reduction in the burden of government are the best ways of using fiscal policy to boost growth.

"


From now on I will use a qualifier such as "most economists" or "many economists" so I am not hit by a wall of ~250 names that do not necessarily mean anything. Unless you put that next to a list of those economists in favor of Keynesian economics it has no perspective.

But yes I agree that not all economists agree with Obama. Though I do think it is important to keep in mind the historical nature of what we are going through here. Hoover choose to take a non-interventionist stance as the economy was sliding pre-Great Depression and it didn't do anything to help. It would have been down right foolish for Bush or Obama to do the same thing.

Recessions also have a huge social impact that a government cannot ignore. Economic crisis make people question the status quo. Iceland has already had a new government put in place. France, though they are always rioting there, has seen an increase in protests along with China. And we may not even be through the worst of it yet.

So I believe there is a lot more to a stimulus package than just trying to pull the economy up. And I do not necessarily agree with the stimulus package as it now stands, I just agree with it in concept.
2009-02-03 5:00 PM
in reply to: #1943892

Subject: ...
This user's post has been ignored.
2009-02-03 9:21 PM
in reply to: #1943911

Master
1651
10005001002525
Breckenridge, CO
Subject: RE: Yet another BO promise broken
TriRSquared - 2009-02-03 3:09 PM
Your dog skis?  Cool!

Well, he actually just runs. Nice debatin' ya!
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