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2009-05-28 9:55 AM
in reply to: #2178012

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Champion
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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?

Couldn't agree more...

 

JustTriDave - 2009-05-28 10:48 AM Some other numbers from Nate Silver at 538.com

Link

...
There is just one problem with this theory. Nobody has bothered to look up data for the control group: the list of dealerships which aren't being closed. It turns out that all car dealers are, in fact, overwhelmingly more likely to donate to Republicans than to Democrats -- not just those who are having their doors closed.
..

...It shouldn't be any surprise, by the way, that car dealers tend to vote -- and donate -- Republican. They are usually male, they are usually older (you don't own an auto dealership in your 20s), and they have obvious reasons to be pro-business, pro-tax cut, anti-green energy and anti-labor. Car dealerships need quite a bit of space and will tend to be located in suburban or rural areas. I can't think of too many other occupations that are more natural fits for the Republican Party. Unfortunately, while we are still a nation of drivers, we are not a nation of dealers.

 

condorman - 2009-05-28 10:38 AM

 

this article is misleading by implying facts not there and mischaracterizing statistics.  Many dealerships are owned by small business to medium-sized business owners.  Bush was highly touted as a business-friendly President.  Heck I even remember one his selling points was that he was the MBA-President.  Chambers of Commerce all across this country gained significant support from business owners who saw the benefits of the hands-off Federal gov't approach espoused by the previous administration.

...

this article draws an unfair and illogical conclusion.  to be truly fair, the article should note the current percentage of ALL dealerships that contribute Republican & Democratic causes and compare that percentage to the percentage targeted for closings.  Otherwise, it is comparing apples to oranges.

 



2009-05-28 9:59 AM
in reply to: #2178012

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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?

JustTriDave - 2009-05-28 9:48 AM Some other numbers from Nate Silver at 538.com

Link

A meme that is currently picking up traction in the conservative blogosphere is that the list of dealerships to be shuttered as a result of Chrysler's bankruptcy contains a disproportionate number donors to Republican candidates. There have been furious efforts to prove this contention by looking up campaign contributor lists at the Huffington Post, Open Secrets, and other places.

There is just one problem with this theory. Nobody has bothered to look up data for the control group: the list of dealerships which aren't being closed. It turns out that all car dealers are, in fact, overwhelmingly more likely to donate to Republicans than to Democrats -- not just those who are having their doors closed.
..

...It shouldn't be any surprise, by the way, that car dealers tend to vote -- and donate -- Republican. They are usually male, they are usually older (you don't own an auto dealership in your 20s), and they have obvious reasons to be pro-business, pro-tax cut, anti-green energy and anti-labor. Car dealerships need quite a bit of space and will tend to be located in suburban or rural areas. I can't think of too many other occupations that are more natural fits for the Republican Party. Unfortunately, while we are still a nation of drivers, we are not a nation of dealers.

That's what I was trying to ask in my first post but didn't do a good enough job of positing the question.  Thanks for that link.

2009-05-28 10:03 AM
in reply to: #2177800

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Master
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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?

Jim the questions are were those dealerships closed because of their political actions?  Did the Obama administration make the decision or strongly suggest which ones to close.  Yes the 90% is a bit misleading because it lends itself to sound like 90% 0f the total and I should have been more clear.  How is this news?  Give me a break the POTUS makes the decision to close dealers for political revenge you don't think that is news I don't care if it is one dealership, I don't care if it is a dealership that contributes to the socialist, communist, libertarian, green fill in the blank party that is wrong it is misuse of power and it is news we now need to find out if it is true I for one hope not.

2009-05-28 10:06 AM
in reply to: #2177800

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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?

I was listening to a discussion about the auto industry on NPR this morning.  I had to change the channel to keep my sanity.  There are too many conflicts of interest with this story.   

2009-05-28 10:14 AM
in reply to: #2177800

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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?
Looking at the statistics from the Nate Silver report:

836    'Auto Dealers, automotive dealers, automobile dealers, or car dealers' gave to Republicans
136    'Auto Dealers, automotive dealers, automobile dealers, or car dealers' gave to Democrats

It would seem to me that if Obama was targeting Republican donors, he would have made sure that he got alot more than the 70 or so that were axed....
2009-05-28 10:15 AM
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2009-05-28 10:21 AM
in reply to: #2178122

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2009-05-28 10:33 AM
in reply to: #2178019

Master
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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?

Not that confusing, some people have an axe to grind and will do whatever they can to make the facts fit with there desired outcome

newleaf - 2009-05-28 10:50 AM Most. Confusing.  Thread.  Ever.

JustTriDave - 2009-05-28 10:01 AM Wow, 68 of the 789 dealer that are being closed gave money to republicans...looks like they were targeted to me


mginani - 2009-05-28 10:08 AM You have it backward. 90% of the 789 gave to Republicans (710), 79 gave to Democrats. We do not know if there is something to it, but it would be nice if the mainstream media would do their job and look into it. They could prove or disprove it.


JustTriDave - 2009-05-28 10:12 AM If you read the story you will see that it gives a list of GOP donors and then says that 60 other donors who gave to the GOP or candidates were on the closure list and 7 who gave to democrats...thats your 90/10%


Boston Beginner - 2009-05-28 10:21 AM 
1. Doesn't look like 700+ (90% of 789)names on the list.  Now if they meant 90% of those dealership owners that actually donated something, that would make more sense.  But this article, and they way I have heard it on the radio makes it sound like 90% of the 789 donated to the RNC or GOP candidates, which is more than a bit misleading.


JustTriDave - 2009-05-28 10:27 AM once again...if you read the story...approximately 8% of the dealerships that are closing gave to republicans....


Boston Beginner - 2009-05-28 10:28 AM Yes, that is correct.  It's 90% of those dealership owners who actually contributed to a political party, not 90% of the 789.

 
mginani - 2009-05-28 10:29 AM
and .7% gave to democrats...


JustTriDave - 2009-05-28 10:29 AM
mginani - 2009-05-28 10:27 AM  I stand corrected. Of those that were shut down, 7 gave to Democrats.


And 70 gave to republicans


run4yrlif - 2009-05-28 10:39 AM It's not 90% of all the closing dealers as you want us to believe, it's 90% of the closing dealers that made contributions--a total of about 60 of the 789. So, <10% of the closing dealers made RNC contributions.

How is this news?

2009-05-28 10:41 AM
in reply to: #2178030

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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?
run4yrlif - 2009-05-28 9:51 AM
Imjin - 2009-05-28 10:48 AM
run4yrlif - 2009-05-28 9:07 AM
CBarnes - 2009-05-28 9:45 AM

 I ask is that the government you want one that will place pressure on a business to financially damage the opposition.  One that will force people into unemployment because their employer is of the opposite political view point from the party in power?



Plese show me where the gubmint directed which dealerships get the axe. I was under the impression that Chrysler management made those decisions. Are those folks democrats? Last I checked, Bob Nardelli's a Republican...



And Wagner stepped down from GM on his own

The "lender" gets to set the rules. Lets just compare it to doing business with the mob in someplace like Chicago.


"I am here to offer my services so that you can continue to do business"

Its happened in every area that they have stuck their noses into. Finance, Auto  and they are forcing policy on most everything else through taxing/ punishment if they dont get in step. So if you cant be the 70% partner or just dont like that particular sector you just put them out of business through green policies and taxes.




Well, then I guess we need to see the contract. Seriously...all of this is just so much speculation.


Specualtion or ignoring the obvious. I mean we could speculate that somehow the sun being hotter right now than it has been in years has something to do with "global warming" or we could listen to Al Gores group who says that the sun being hotter has no effect.

We could speculate that the governemnt isnt using their ownership of the auto industry to force a green agenda down everyones throat. Of course theres no paperwork confirming it per se but its obvious thats what they are doing/ will continue to do

You are ignorning the obvious and you are far too smart to need  proof to point out to you who is strong arming their way around our economy. Would a few more bankers coming forward saying they were forced to take bailout money help? There are plenty out there

Back to the mob analogy. Thyearent going to write up volumes on what they are doing but they are doing something.

Edited by Imjin 2009-05-28 10:48 AM
2009-05-28 11:20 AM
in reply to: #2178034

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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?
eberulf - 2009-05-28 9:52 AM

I agree the article is somewhat misleading, as are some of the replies to it on both sides, and more data is needed to draw a conclusion.

However, I think it is valid to point out that this kind of concern wouldn't come up if the executive and legislative branches of government stayed out of it. The US could have saved billions of taxpayer dollars if they let the bankcruptcy courts handle this back in December, and you wouldn't have to look for political payback in every decision.



Amen!
2009-05-28 11:58 AM
in reply to: #2177800

Master
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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?
Our local right wing oriented radio host was having (another) coniption fit the other day.

This time one of his show's heavy advertisiers, an auto dealership, is being closed. All his listeners were instructed to go to the dealership for a rally because somehow closing the dealership wasn't "fair". Boo hoo hoo.

Apparently when it is a friend of his, who pays his station a lot of money, then the world needs to somehow be "fair" and exceptions need to be made. When it isn't his buddy, then the message is 'HTFU/ market forces/you weren't competitive/bummer for you your job got sent overseas/free trade/blah blah blah'.

It is sad that people are losing their livelihoods. I am sure they did their best to do a good job. They either just aren't competitive in their area or they aren't making the profit cutoff. If the growth isn't there or the profit % isn't there they'll get cut. There's no conspiracy. That's how business works. It is not a mystery.  


2009-05-28 12:15 PM
in reply to: #2178580

Master
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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?
ell-in-or - 2009-05-28 11:58 AM Our local right wing oriented radio host was having (another) coniption fit the other day.

This time one of his show's heavy advertisiers, an auto dealership, is being closed. All his listeners were instructed to go to the dealership for a rally because somehow closing the dealership wasn't "fair". Boo hoo hoo.

Apparently when it is a friend of his, who pays his station a lot of money, then the world needs to somehow be "fair" and exceptions need to be made. When it isn't his buddy, then the message is 'HTFU/ market forces/you weren't competitive/bummer for you your job got sent overseas/free trade/blah blah blah'.

It is sad that people are losing their livelihoods. I am sure they did their best to do a good job. They either just aren't competitive in their area or they aren't making the profit cutoff. If the growth isn't there or the profit % isn't there they'll get cut. There's no conspiracy. That's how business works. It is not a mystery.  


You are missing the entire point it appears many of the dealers that are being closed are making a profit, some appear to be among the most profitable. Their closing has nothing to do with how business works and is therefor a mystery.  That is what we need to find out.  If the dealership is losing money and a drain on Chrysler than by all means close it. But if we are closing a dealership because we want to punish them politicaly I ask is that the America you want to live in?
2009-05-28 12:29 PM
in reply to: #2178629

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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?
CBarnes - 2009-05-28 1:15 PM But if we are closing a dealership because we want to punish them politicaly I ask is that the America you want to live in?


If that's happening, it sucks. But nothing I've seen has demonstrated that that's happening. In fact, the WND article and the subsequent data regarding all Chrysler dealerships suggest poltical favoritism has *nothing* to do with it.

Ya know...I heard this chatter about profitable dealerships being closed, but I have yet to see any data supporting it.
2009-05-28 12:30 PM
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2009-05-28 12:57 PM
in reply to: #2177800

Master
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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?
Tell me again why is it in Chrysler's best interest to give the market share of a franchise owner to his competitor without just compensation?
2009-05-28 1:34 PM
in reply to: #2177800

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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?
look! it's jesus in a cheeto!!!



(cheesus jesus.png)



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2009-05-28 1:36 PM
in reply to: #2178706

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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?
run4yrlif - 2009-05-28 12:29 PM
CBarnes - 2009-05-28 1:15 PM But if we are closing a dealership because we want to punish them politicaly I ask is that the America you want to live in?


If that's happening, it sucks. But nothing I've seen has demonstrated that that's happening. In fact, the WND article and the subsequent data regarding all Chrysler dealerships suggest poltical favoritism has *nothing* to do with it.

Ya know...I heard this chatter about profitable dealerships being closed, but I have yet to see any data supporting it.


Again with the data. A dealer saying they are profitable and have no idea why they are being closed isnt good enough? Its not like they have anything to gain from saying they are profitable. Oh thats right they get the privledge to use the Chrysler name.

Do you think Chrysler would admit closing profitable dealers or that the Government wouls tep up and admit if they told them which ones to cle? Of coure they wouldnt so your "Official 100% Solid Evidence Data" will never be out in the public arena.

Edited by Imjin 2009-05-28 1:38 PM
2009-05-28 1:44 PM
in reply to: #2178706

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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?
run4yrlif - 2009-05-28 1:29 PM
CBarnes - 2009-05-28 1:15 PM But if we are closing a dealership because we want to punish them politicaly I ask is that the America you want to live in?


If that's happening, it sucks. But nothing I've seen has demonstrated that that's happening. In fact, the WND article and the subsequent data regarding all Chrysler dealerships suggest poltical favoritism has *nothing* to do with it.

Ya know...I heard this chatter about profitable dealerships being closed, but I have yet to see any data supporting it.


Dealership profitability has little to do with the dealerships being closed. Chrysler's profitability has everything to do with the dealerships being closed.

As a 20-year automotive dude I'm intimately familiar with how automotive companies select, grade, preference, and evaluate dealers. First criteria: volume. Second criteria: mix (are they selling the most profitable kind of cars). Third criteria: everything else (service, dealer profitability, you name it).  It's not about politics, it's about money.

With Chrysler, I just talked to my buddy, who's VP Corporate Communications with this rumor. No substance. The Chrysler team evaluated dealers to keep based on market share, competition, vehicle mix, and some pedestrian stuff like accounting, cash flow (payments back to Chrysler, there are some d-bag dealers that will sell a car and not pay the mfg), and service history. They made the recommendation to the board, who okayed it, no outside influence on the selection process.

Two final points:

As others have stated, the vast majority of car dealers own more than one dealership, or at least sell more than one mfg's car. They have multiple franchises and are wealthy. This fits the republican demographic much more closely than the dem demographic. I'm not at all surprised by the statistics, nor alarmed.

Second, back to the first sentence of this post. The VC's, lawyers, bondholders, stockholders, management, and board of Chrysler - making up 99% of the people invoved in the process - could really care less about Elephant/Donkey.  They care about cash in their pockets, that's all.  Think of them as the mob. It doesn't matter whose money it is, as long as it's money. That's how desperate it is. And I've lived it.   
2009-05-28 9:08 PM
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2009-05-28 11:58 PM
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Master
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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?
Anyone see Countdown this evening? This exact topic made the "WTF Moment" segment. LOL! I'm sure there's many folks out there that paid more attention than I did, because I was laughing at us all talking about this very thing today, but one of the points was that about 88-92% of the dealerships gave to republicans, and about 88-92% of the closed dealerships were ones who gave to republicans. So essentially, no targeting. The closed dealerships' demographics matched the overall dealership demographics almost exactly.

Of course, feel free to research your own stats as I'm sure Olbeman's stats won't necessarily be acceptable. His were taken from  other people put together from some contribution statistics site,  Watch if you like. 

What are we gonna talk about tomorrow? We might make Countdown again!
2009-05-29 5:42 AM
in reply to: #2180146

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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?
And to kep things fair and balanced so that no one thinks its a Keith O line of BS ( which wouldnt be a stretch or out of the ordinary) the hated Glen Beck said the same thing hours earlier.


2009-05-29 7:53 AM
in reply to: #2177800

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Subject: RE: Chrysler closings target Republicans?
Correct me if I'm wrong here but isn't part of the problem the lack of transparency with respect to who is getting the ax?

I too hate conspiracy theories and based on the info I've read I suspect this will end up being a non story but given the government is involved (and therefore us taxpayers) shouldn't the whole process been more transparent?

If the decisions were based on some matrix of volume, revenue, service quality, etc. then release that information and this whole story goes away.

Disclaimer: I haven't done a ton of digging so if this info has been released, then never mind

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