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2018-04-02 11:32 AM

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Subject: Trump at 50%
Rutro Raggy, Trump is at 50% approval on Rasmussen poll. Of course there are plenty of polls showing him at less but the RCP rolling average of all polls show him trending upwards.

I really don't put a lot of stock in polls though. We all know how wrong they were predicting a Hillary win in 2016. I think Trump defies their historic models. I think people might be ashamed (or shamed) of admitting they approve of Trump.

The only interest I have in the approval is that I love to watched the media squirm. "How the hail can he possible be approved by anyone, much less 50% of America?! Haven't the American people been listening to us? Trump and the Russians stole the election. Trump is a disaster for democracy. Trump's WH is in chaos. Every single one of Trump's cabinet picks is wrong for the country. Trump banged a porn star 12 years ago! Do you people not understand? She was a porn star with bigger hooters than Milania and he porked her."


2018-04-02 2:31 PM
in reply to: Rogillio

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Subject: RE: Trump at 50%
Haven't the American people been listening us…

Nobody is listening to the American people.
2018-04-02 4:51 PM
in reply to: mdg2003

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Subject: RE: Trump at 50%
It's Rasmussen, might as well poll the Fox and Friends audience, statistical outlier.
2018-04-03 7:43 AM
in reply to: Oysterboy

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Subject: RE: Trump at 50%
Originally posted by Oysterboy

It's Rasmussen, might as well poll the Fox and Friends audience, statistical outlier.


Same poll had Obama points lower than Trump at this same point. I don't know why the different polls have such deviation but comparing Obama Rasmussen and Trump Rasmussen is telling.....assuming they don't change their modeling based on whether a dem or rep is in office. I think the only things really tell us is the trending. RCP does a rolling average of all polls and that seems to me to be the best data and that shows Trump trending up. Give the vitriolic hatred of Trump on the far left he will likely never rise above 50% no matter what he does. At any rate, these same poll predicted he would lose the election so I don't put too much stock in them.
2018-04-04 10:39 AM
in reply to: Rogillio

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Subject: RE: Trump at 50%
Originally posted by Rogillio

Originally posted by Oysterboy

It's Rasmussen, might as well poll the Fox and Friends audience, statistical outlier.


Same poll had Obama points lower than Trump at this same point. I don't know why the different polls have such deviation but comparing Obama Rasmussen and Trump Rasmussen is telling.....assuming they don't change their modeling based on whether a dem or rep is in office. I think the only things really tell us is the trending. RCP does a rolling average of all polls and that seems to me to be the best data and that shows Trump trending up. Give the vitriolic hatred of Trump on the far left he will likely never rise above 50% no matter what he does. At any rate, these same poll predicted he would lose the election so I don't put too much stock in them.

Nah, they wouldn't do that would they? All of the polls have him trending up but within the same error distribution as his historical mean. Interpretation: polling scatter. What is going on with the markets may fix that.
2018-04-17 10:12 AM
in reply to: Oysterboy

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Subject: RE: Trump at 50%

51% today. :-D

The main difference with Rasmussen is they're the only major poll outlet that's polling likely voters compared to registered voters or all voters by the rest.
There's a lot of Trump haters out there that don't vote so they can skew the results by quite a bit.  Think Jay lenno "jay walker" types.

I know it's not a direct correlation, but for comparison Rasmussen had Trump at 43% and Clinton at 45% in his final poll before the election in 2016.  She ended up with 48% and Trump had 46% so he was a little low on both but the separation was spot on.
Something else kind of cool.  The final RCP average for Trump vs. Clinton was 46.1 to 48.2 so it was almost spot on with the popular vote.



2018-04-17 10:33 AM
in reply to: tuwood

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Subject: RE: Trump at 50%
I have long believed the non-stop Trump bashing in the media and by dems was going to backfire. Americans love an underdog. Trump is troubled on every side yet not distressed...perplexed....persecuted....cast down, but not destroyed (chapter and verse Tony?). Many people see him as trying hard to change the country for the better yet everything he does is criticized by the left, the media and often many on the right. His 'compromise' on DACA was rejected by the left and slammed by many on the right. He is in a lose-lose sitcheation! I think Americans actually understand that.

Also, after 16 months we are not at war with NK, the stock market has not crashed, China caved on the trade war, the tax cuts are boosting the economy, unemployment is statistically zero......Trump has not started WWIII....and the media is still litigating the 2016 election.
2018-05-01 10:20 AM
in reply to: Rogillio

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Subject: RE: Trump at 50%
4 point uptick in Gallop poll. RCP average of all polls show Trump at 12 month (almost 13 month) high at 43% approval. Libs in the media have got to be pulling the hair out of the enormously inflated, bulbous heads!

I can hear their behind the scene angst,

"How the heck is this happening to us!? Have the American people not been listening to us?! Trump and Putin stole the election from the rightful heir to the throne, Hillary! Trump obstructed justice firing Comey! Trump clearly colluded with the Russians. Trumps tax cuts only help the rich and will hurt the economy. Cohen is going to flip on Trump and bring Trump down any day now. Trump is going to start a nuclear war with NK. France hates Trump. Germany hates Trump. The whole world hates Trump. Trump is going to pull out of the wonderful Iran deal! And Stormy, did they not hear that Trump boinked a porn star 12 years ago! I porn star with a bodacious set of fake ta-tas! I bet she was hot back in the day. Hmmm. Anyway, didn't we tell American people that Trump hates all dreamers and wants to ban Muslims?! Trump wants to kick out dreamers in the MS13 Club. Day after day we have trashed and mocked him ever since he announced he was gonna run for President in 2015! And stupid American still voted for him. And now his approval rating is hire that our beloved Obama at this time. How can this be happening?! He should be at 2% approval by now....we have worked very hard. It just isn't fair. Evidently the American people are simply out-of-touch with the liberal media. That is all there is too it. They need to get on board with us or the country is doomed....doomed I tell you!

OK, that was my secret life of Walter Mitty imagining what must be like to be a liberal talk head on CNN or MSNBC.
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