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2016-02-01 11:47 AM

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Buttercup
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Subject: Iowa
So it begins ...

Nate Silver gives Trump a 46% chance of winning, Cruz at 38%. He forecasts Trump taking 25.7% of the vote share to Cruz's 24.3.

Hillary's chances are 66% to Sanders' 34%.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/...

538 also has odds for the NH and SC primaries, but I don't want to get ahead of myself. Spoiler alert: It's looking very good for Trump.


2016-02-01 11:49 AM
in reply to: Renee

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Pro
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Subject: RE: Iowa

Originally posted by Renee So it begins ... Nate Silver gives Trump a 46% chance of winning, Cruz at 38%. He forecasts Trump taking 25.7% of the vote share to Cruz's 24.3. Hillary's chances are 66% to Sanders' 34%. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/... 538 also has odds for the NH and SC primaries, but I don't want to get ahead of myself. Spoiler alert: It's looking very good for Trump.

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