Subject: Iowa So it begins ...
Nate Silver gives Trump a 46% chance of winning, Cruz at 38%. He forecasts Trump taking 25.7% of the vote share to Cruz's 24.3.
Hillary's chances are 66% to Sanders' 34%.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/...
538 also has odds for the NH and SC primaries, but I don't want to get ahead of myself. Spoiler alert: It's looking very good for Trump. |