Race Plan, is it reasonable?

How does this look for my race plan? 

The triathlon will be on July 11th in Rancho Seco California (near Sacramento) sponsored by TBF racing.  This is the event near the decommissioned nuclear power plant.  TBFracing.com

Event = Tri for Fun

880 yard, lake swim (wet suit legal)
16 Mile Bike, some small rolling hills (nothing over 2%)
3 Mile run, fire road

I wanted to be reasonable about my expectations, so I increased my over all time somewhat to compensate for my fatigue from the other events and lack of experience in multi sport racing.

Regularly I pool swim 1000 yards in slightly less than 2 minutes hundreds with no noticeable or excessive exertion.  I do this because I want to get out of the water alive.  My first untrained, unprepared OWS was a nightmare.

I regularly ride a 16 mile very hilly training loop at 18 MPH average (ranging from 6MPH to 25MPH).  Mike bike conditioning is pretty good and by far my best event.  Got a Trek with Profile Jammer Aero bars.

I can run 3 miles in just under 8 minute miles (again on a hilly route, 15% grade for 1/4 mile).  But I really don't like to run that much, so I don't run much.

Anyway, this is kind of how I see it happening:

	Pace		Distance		Time /Minutes	Total Seconds		Split time goals
Swim	2.16 Minutes  per 100 yards Avg.		880 Yards		19.00	1140		n/a
Trans ition #1					4.00	240		n/a
Bike	19 MPH Avg.		16 Miles		52.00	3120		26
Transistion #2					2.00	120		n/a
Run	9 Minute Mile Avg.		3 Miles		27.00	1620		13.5
Total time HH:MM					1:44	1:44