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Election 2016 (Page 55)
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 2016-11-08 10:34 AM in reply to: ejshowers |
Pro  15655    |  Subject: RE: Election 2016Originally posted by ejshowers Originally posted by tuwood Ha ha ha... No, I would say that MN has its voting process chit together! Originally posted by ejshowers Just voted here in MN. No line and in and out in 5 minutes as usual. So what your saying is Trump is right about her lack of enthusiasm ;-) It's not that hard to get all 9 people in to vote. |
| 2016-11-08 10:35 AM in reply to: tuwood |
Master 2802  Minnetonka, Minnesota Bronze member | Subject: RE: Election 2016 I posted this last November, 11/13/2015 to be exact: Here's my simple logic, barring a 911 type disaster, economic meltdown or the FBI indicting Hillary: 1. Polls at this point are virtually meaningless unless they show a huge margin. 2. Demographics favor the D's. They did in 2008, more so in 2012, and they move that way about .4% each year, so that's another 1.6 in favor of Ds. Old white guys are dying off fast. 3. Ds start with a significant Electoral College advantage. 4. Hillary will do very well among women, the largest voting bloc. 5. Trump has alienated minorities at every turn. He won't even get Romney's tiny %, which the Rs need to equal at least to stand a chance. 6. The economy is doing OK. The Ds can show steady improvement in many measures since 2008 and plausibly say "Who wants to go back to policies that led to the mess GWB left us?" So, although there was a FBI inquiry into Clinton, there was no indictment, but a lot of controversy occurred right at the end, which hurt Clinton a bit. Polls were tightening anyway as Rs consolidated, and the follow up "clearing her" letter helped move things back to her a bit, but I still think the Comey letter had an impact of a point or two maybe. Bottom line - I stand by my post from a year ago and think Hillary will win the popular vote by 3 or so and will get around 300 Electoral Votes. |
| 2016-11-08 11:36 AM in reply to: ejshowers |
Champion 10157 Alabama | Subject: RE: Election 2016 My final prediction. Hey, go big or go home! (Presentation1.jpg) Attachments ---------------- Presentation1.jpg (52KB - 3 downloads) |
| 2016-11-08 11:39 AM in reply to: Rogillio |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: Election 2016 |
| 2016-11-08 11:41 AM in reply to: tuwood |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: Election 2016 Sorry, couldn't resist. I'm still going with 5% Trump win in the popular and here's my map prediction:
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| 2016-11-08 3:39 PM in reply to: tuwood |
Expert 4924 Middle River, Maryland Silver member | Subject: RE: Election 2016 Originally posted by tuwood Originally posted by dmiller5 I just won the election. We are winners. I voted so bigly for Hillary. Its going to be great. I do the best votes and people are giving me a lot of credit for them. A. LOT. OF. CREDIT. Dang, I was hoping Maryland would go Red this year... grrr Ha. Good luck with that. it's funny, though...even in MD where Trump has no chance in hell, all I've seen are Trump signs, nothing for Hillary. Nada. |
| 2016-11-08 7:39 PM in reply to: jmhpsu93 |
Champion 10157 Alabama | Subject: RE: Election 2016 John King rules |
| 2016-11-08 7:44 PM in reply to: Rogillio |
Pro 15655 | Subject: RE: Election 2016 No landslide tonight boys and girls!  |
| 2016-11-08 7:46 PM in reply to: Left Brain |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: Election 2016 Originally posted by Left Brain No landslide tonight boys and girls! Always hard to tell with less than 100% returns coming in. |
| 2016-11-08 7:49 PM in reply to: tuwood |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: Election 2016 VA seems to be surprising right now. Trump up by 5.5% with 59% reporting? eek That being said, I have no idea what counties haven't reported yet so he could lose by 20%. Sometimes I hate election night. lol |
| 2016-11-08 8:05 PM in reply to: tuwood |
1731 Denver, Colorado | Subject: RE: Election 2016 Originally posted by tuwood Sometimes I hate election night. lol Tell me about it... I already full bag of Haribo gummy bears, and am on my way to get some ice cream, and then to the bar to ...alcoholize... with my friends. |
| 2016-11-08 8:09 PM in reply to: marysia83 |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: Election 2016 |
| 2016-11-08 8:25 PM in reply to: tuwood |
Champion 10157 Alabama | Subject: RE: Election 2016 |
| 2016-11-08 8:26 PM in reply to: Rogillio |
Pro 15655 | Subject: RE: Election 2016 Originally posted by RogillioTrump looks good across rust belt. I'm feeling good.But I've been drinking.... I feel better.... but I've been fishing AND dtinking......all day. LOL |
| 2016-11-08 8:27 PM in reply to: Left Brain |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: Election 2016 I dont drink, but I'm thinking about running to the liquor store real quick... |
| 2016-11-08 8:43 PM in reply to: Rogillio |
Champion 10157 Alabama | Subject: RE: Election 2016 As a republican I felling good right now. |
| 2016-11-08 8:59 PM in reply to: Rogillio |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: Election 2016 Originally posted by Rogillio As a republican I felling good right now. I'm still cautiously optimistic. He's still in it, so that's all we can ask for at this point. :-D |
| 2016-11-08 9:22 PM in reply to: tuwood |
Champion 10157 Alabama | Subject: RE: Election 2016 Originally posted by tuwood Originally posted by Rogillio As a republican I felling good right now. I'm still cautiously optimistic. He's still in it, so that's all we can ask for at this point. :-D He won. Game over. |
| 2016-11-08 9:22 PM in reply to: Rogillio |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: Election 2016 Originally posted by Rogillio Originally posted by tuwood He won. Game over. Originally posted by Rogillio As a republican I felling good right now. I'm still cautiously optimistic. He's still in it, so that's all we can ask for at this point. :-D Betting markets have him at 80% win now. Nate silver has dropped to Hillary at 60% lol |
| 2016-11-08 9:43 PM in reply to: tuwood |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: Election 2016 Just remember, the Simpsons predicted this 15 years ago. It was too prophetic for it not to be true. Trump is likely a time traveler. |
| 2016-11-08 9:46 PM in reply to: tuwood |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: Election 2016 Soooooo.... About that LA Times poll? Final LATimes had Trump +3% and so far he's holding 3% nationally? hmm I know I know. But Nate Silver and the RCP Average... |
| 2016-11-08 9:55 PM in reply to: tuwood |
Pro 15655 | Subject: RE: Election 2016 World markets getting hammered....DOW futures down 700....GO TRUMP!!! |
| 2016-11-08 9:56 PM in reply to: Left Brain |
Pro 15655 | Subject: RE: Election 2016 Chance of a Trump victory now 93%!!! |
| 2016-11-08 9:58 PM in reply to: Left Brain |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: Election 2016 Originally posted by Left Brain Chance of a Trump victory now 93%!!! I'm still not getting overconfident. I'm waiting for 100% to come in. |
| 2016-11-08 10:31 PM in reply to: tuwood |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: Election 2016 |
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