IMKY time predictions
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2008-08-20 10:21 AM |
Champion 10154 Alabama | Subject: IMKY time predictions I've always said a triathlon is not a very good spectator sport as you just catch glimpses of your guy on the course. I've tried to predict where/when I'll be on the course so my wife and kids don't have to 'waste' the whole day. Here is my best guess of my times. Swim . Swim start time: 7:10 +/- 5 minutes . Swim Time: 90 minutes +/- 10 minutes . Swim finish time: 8:40 am +/- 15 minutes . . T1: 5 minutes . . Bike . Bike Start: 8:45 am +/- 15 minutes . Bike Time: 6:45 +/- 45 minutes . Bike Finish Time: 3:30 pm +/- 60 minutes . . T2: 5 minutes . . Run . Run start time: 3:35 pm +/- 60 minutes . Run Time: 6:15 +/- 60 minutes . IM Finish (Clock) Time: 10:30 pm +/- 60 minutes . . . Predicted IM Finish Time: 15:30 +/- 1 hr . ~Mike . How come no one has showed up to confiscate my keyboard yet? :-) Edited by Rogillio 2008-08-20 10:23 AM |
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2008-08-20 10:51 AM in reply to: #1616024 |
Champion 8540 the colony texas | Subject: RE: IMKY time predictions I"m going solo up there, so I predict that I'll start just after seven am and finish sometime before midnight. |
2008-08-20 10:55 AM in reply to: #1616155 |
Champion 10154 Alabama | Subject: RE: IMKY time predictions Gaarryy - 2008-08-20 10:51 AM I"m going solo up there, so I predict that I'll start just after seven am and finish sometime before midnight.
Yeah, I did the same thing last year. Don't tell my wife and kids but I think I almost prefer it that way. It was nice to only worry about me last year....and not have to worry about getting up early and not waking everyone...or going to be early and asking everyone to keep quiet. Well, I think they will enjoy the weekend....at least I hope they do. :-) ~Mike
~Mike |
2008-08-20 5:19 PM in reply to: #1616024 |
Extreme Veteran 495 Horse Country | Subject: RE: IMKY time predictions Im probably on the pipe since this is my first IM but Im going to throw a 12hr finish out there for best case and 13 for not so best
Edited by grit_nugget 2008-08-20 5:22 PM |
2008-08-20 5:28 PM in reply to: #1616024 |
Pro 3730 NorCal | Subject: RE: IMKY time predictions Rogillio - 2008-08-20 8:21 AM I've always said a triathlon is not a very good spectator sport as you just catch glimpses of your guy on the course. I've tried to predict where/when I'll be on the course so my wife and kids don't have to 'waste' the whole day. Here is my best guess of my times. Swim . Swim start time: 7:10 +/- 5 minutes . Swim Time: 90 minutes +/- 10 minutes . Swim finish time: 8:40 am +/- 15 minutes . . T1: 5 minutes . . Bike . Bike Start: 8:45 am +/- 15 minutes . Bike Time: 6:45 +/- 45 minutes . Bike Finish Time: 3:30 pm +/- 60 minutes . . T2: 5 minutes . . Run . Run start time: 3:35 pm +/- 60 minutes . Run Time: 6:15 +/- 60 minutes . IM Finish (Clock) Time: 10:30 pm +/- 60 minutes . . . Predicted IM Finish Time: 15:30 +/- 1 hr . ~Mike . How come no one has showed up to confiscate my keyboard yet? :-) Mike since you put so much time into your list, can I just draft off of you the whole day? I promise to stay far enough behind you to make sure I don't get a dafting card or get peed/spit/snot on! |
2008-08-20 7:05 PM in reply to: #1617384 |
Champion 10154 Alabama | Subject: RE: IMKY time predictions AbbieR - 2008-08-20 5:28 PM Rogillio - 2008-08-20 8:21 AM I've always said a triathlon is not a very good spectator sport as you just catch glimpses of your guy on the course. I've tried to predict where/when I'll be on the course so my wife and kids don't have to 'waste' the whole day. Here is my best guess of my times. Swim . Swim start time: 7:10 +/- 5 minutes . Swim Time: 90 minutes +/- 10 minutes . Swim finish time: 8:40 am +/- 15 minutes . . T1: 5 minutes . . Bike . Bike Start: 8:45 am +/- 15 minutes . Bike Time: 6:45 +/- 45 minutes . Bike Finish Time: 3:30 pm +/- 60 minutes . . T2: 5 minutes . . Run . Run start time: 3:35 pm +/- 60 minutes . Run Time: 6:15 +/- 60 minutes . IM Finish (Clock) Time: 10:30 pm +/- 60 minutes . . . Predicted IM Finish Time: 15:30 +/- 1 hr . ~Mike . How come no one has showed up to confiscate my keyboard yet? :-) Mike since you put so much time into your list, can I just draft off of you the whole day? I promise to stay far enough behind you to make sure I don't get a dafting card or get peed/spit/snot on!
Since our logs are very simlar in volume and pace, we will probably see each other more than once on the course. Last year I leap-frogged with a Canadian woman on the bike about 15 times! I'd pass her on the downhills and before long she'd pass me back on the uphill. ~Mike |
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2008-08-20 7:07 PM in reply to: #1617363 |
Champion 10154 Alabama | Subject: RE: IMKY time predictions grit_nugget - 2008-08-20 5:19 PM Im probably on the pipe since this is my first IM but Im going to throw a 12hr finish out there for best case and 13 for not so best
Nice spreadsheet! |
2008-08-20 8:45 PM in reply to: #1617532 |
Bob 2194 Binghamton, NY | Subject: RE: IMKY time predictions Holy cow that's detailed! Nice job! Let's see what I can put together for a best case: 7:00 am - Enter the water (Or when I cross the mat) 9:59:00 |
2008-08-20 8:57 PM in reply to: #1616024 |
Extreme Veteran 477 | Subject: RE: IMKY time predictions I'm not doing IMKY this year...but I will be cheering you all on and hope you all reach your goals. Last year I really thought 13:30 was doable for me, but ended with 14:45. Honestly, I'm not complaining. I'm thrilled to have done it...thrilled with my time and hope to do another in a year or two. I was pretty much on pace until about 10 miles into the run. Heat, humidity and a bloated belly got me! I'm not trying to psych anyone out...just trying to share my experience. Respect the heat and humidity (if that's what Mother Nature sends your way) and really plan out your nutrition and hydration. Good luck to all! |
2008-08-20 10:22 PM in reply to: #1616024 |
Champion 9430 No excuses! | Subject: RE: IMKY time predictions |
2008-08-21 9:00 AM in reply to: #1616024 |
Champion 10471 Dallas, TX | Subject: RE: IMKY time predictions My coach might have me write something out... but if he doesn't ask for it... I'm not going to do it. I have found that if I just get out there and race, I do fine. Having time expectations in my head always does me in somewhat. The only time I care about are the cut off times for the bike and at the end. If I come in under 17 hours... without blisters... and feeling good... I will have achieved my goal. |
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2008-08-21 2:17 PM in reply to: #1618294 |
Bob 2194 Binghamton, NY | Subject: RE: IMKY time predictions KSH - 2008-08-21 10:00 AM My coach might have me write something out... but if he doesn't ask for it... I'm not going to do it. I have found that if I just get out there and race, I do fine. Having time expectations in my head always does me in somewhat. The only time I care about are the cut off times for the bike and at the end. If I come in under 17 hours... without blisters... and feeling good... I will have achieved my goal. I agree with you. I like to put numbers together to see a best case scenario but I can be sure that I will be having a good time out there. That's what this is all about! It does no good to get hung up on times and "making up" for lost time if something (like a poop stop) comes up. 10 DAYS!!!! |
2008-08-21 2:41 PM in reply to: #1619448 |
Expert 913 St. Louis | Subject: RE: IMKY time predictions rstocks3 - 2008-08-21 2:17 PM KSH - 2008-08-21 10:00 AM My coach might have me write something out... but if he doesn't ask for it... I'm not going to do it. I have found that if I just get out there and race, I do fine. Having time expectations in my head always does me in somewhat. The only time I care about are the cut off times for the bike and at the end. If I come in under 17 hours... without blisters... and feeling good... I will have achieved my goal. I agree with you. I like to put numbers together to see a best case scenario but I can be sure that I will be having a good time out there. That's what this is all about! It does no good to get hung up on times and "making up" for lost time if something (like a poop stop) comes fixed it for you? ~B |
2008-08-21 6:52 PM in reply to: #1616024 |
Extreme Veteran 563 Pekin, IL | Subject: RE: IMKY time predictions My best guess (still finishing is the 1st priority):Swim: 1.5 hrs +/- 15 minT1: <10 minBike: 6.25 hrs +/- 30 minT2: < 10 minRun: 5.25 hrs +/- 30 minA lot is dependant on the heat/humidity. We'll see. |