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Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
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2012-01-24 2:08 PM

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Coach
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Stairway to Seven
Subject: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
I thought I'd make this a little fun.

Here is his self description:

who wants to venture a guess as to my FTP for this test? Some variables: i'm 5'10 185 (goal racing weight of 170); c5/c6 disc herniation which limits my aero position a bit; current training is about 8 hours per week; 1st week using power; new bike: 2011 Trek Speed Concept 7.5 with Quarq. Using a cyclops trainer in my basement; temp is 70 degrees F; and I will be cranking ACDC and/or Rage Against the Machine. I am in year 3 of triathlon, and all 3 seasons have ended with minor injury (shoulder, knee). I dont race often, but when i do, i am MOP. Sprinter by trade. i have never been beaten in a 100m dash, especially when challenged during a party. Long distance is my weakness, but also my new challenge.


To make it easy, let's guess his avg 20 minute power


2012-01-24 2:09 PM
in reply to: #4008519

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Coach
9167
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Stairway to Seven
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
Dang it, forgot to add the option to let you add options. Well the range I posted should get close.
2012-01-24 2:21 PM
in reply to: #4008519

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Veteran
204
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Massapequa, NY
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test

5:30pm. get your popcorn ready!

 

2012-01-24 2:21 PM
in reply to: #4008551

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Coach
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Stairway to Seven
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
Dlyon - 2012-01-24 1:21 PM

5:30pm. get your popcorn ready!

 



Woohoo! What's your guess?
2012-01-24 2:23 PM
in reply to: #4008519

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Veteran
204
100100
Massapequa, NY
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
dude. i have absolutely no idea.  But i sure as hell just added some unecessary pressure on myself.  no worries...i wont shy away!
2012-01-24 2:24 PM
in reply to: #4008519

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Veteran
204
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Massapequa, NY
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
sorry, that "dude" shoulda been ma'am.  Cant tell with that pic of you standing on top of mt. everest! apologies


2012-01-24 2:31 PM
in reply to: #4008562

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Coach
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Stairway to Seven
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
Dlyon - 2012-01-24 1:24 PM

sorry, that "dude" shoulda been ma'am.  Cant tell with that pic of you standing on top of mt. everest! apologies


No worries. That's Long's Peak Summit. It was an awesome day and I love that photo...so I just leave it up.

Tip: Cover the power reading with electrical tape and go by feel...just as the desscription stated. Then surprise yourself.
2012-01-24 2:32 PM
in reply to: #4008519

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over a barrier
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
Went with 210. A few previous bike times would have been nice

Have fun, don't blow up.

2012-01-24 2:33 PM
in reply to: #4008519

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Member
325
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Groningen, Netherlands
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
I'm going with 300. Why is this not an option.
2012-01-24 2:34 PM
in reply to: #4008562

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Coach
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Stairway to Seven
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
Dlyon - 2012-01-24 1:24 PM

sorry, that "dude" shoulda been ma'am.  Cant tell with that pic of you standing on top of mt. everest! apologies


My bad. That's a big number, but entirely possible.
2012-01-24 2:39 PM
in reply to: #4008519

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Member
325
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Groningen, Netherlands
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test

Of course it is! Also I was thinking I was guessing FTP, but really I was supposed to guess the avg power over 20mins, which is supposed to be what, 110%? Then its even easier to get 300W  

How old is Dlyon? And athletic background?

Maybe also interesting, over/under on the sprint peak at the end? Since he said he was a sprinter!



2012-01-24 2:53 PM
in reply to: #4008519

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Member
448
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Clemson, SC
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
240! You can do it!
2012-01-24 2:55 PM
in reply to: #4008519

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Pennsylvania
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
My guess was 230.  Rock it, Dlyon!
2012-01-24 2:56 PM
in reply to: #4008519

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Champion
19812
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MA
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test

Age?

Last tri bike speed?

Give us a little more data....

2012-01-24 2:58 PM
in reply to: #4008519

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Master
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Eagle Mountain, Utah
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
2012-01-24 3:02 PM
in reply to: #4008519

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Elite
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Ontario
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test

I went with 210 - but this is lowballing when I take his weight into consideration.  I'll write 230, and I'm expecting him to fizzle at the end, so he'll have a higher number till the last 5min and then drops off a bit.

Unless he reads this first and sandbags the first 10min and tries to make up for it.Wink



2012-01-24 3:24 PM
in reply to: #4008519

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Veteran
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Massapequa, NY
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test

I am 38 years old.  My last race was the NYC tri this past August.  My bike split there was 1:18:38.  Challenging with some rollers, but nothing crazy.

My athletic background is in soccer, where i played at a very high level collegiately.  Also have played ice hockey.  My sprinting background is of the running variety.  I am lightening quick at the 100m and 200m distances and can still smoke kids half my age.  It's Happy Gimore strange, but its true.  None of this has translated into a stellar triathlon career.  I am most definitely a MOP'er.

This is my 3rd year, 1st year with a coach (training for IMNY/NJ).  I have had a power meter for all of 4 days and have zero idea how to intepret any of the data.  I'm testing at 5:30pm and will post results here.

2012-01-24 3:47 PM
in reply to: #4008705

Master
10208
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Northern IL
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test

What position did you play?

And would that be in Eastern time then?

2012-01-24 3:57 PM
in reply to: #4008519

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Veteran
204
100100
Massapequa, NY
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test

5:30pm Eastern, correct.

I played central midfield most of my life, with some forward intermixed.  I used to be able to do a 2.2 mile run in 12 minutes.  My best 5k is a 23:00 (2 years ago).  I spent my 20s and early 30s doing alot of hanging at the beach instead of running and swimming at it.  trying to regain at least some of my old athletic self.  never played organized ice hockey until some adult league play in my mid-20s.  tons of time on the pond though.

 

2012-01-24 4:01 PM
in reply to: #4008519

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Elite
3072
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san francisco
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
I guessed 240, but thinking 235.  C'mon, Dave, you are at minimum 3.0wt/kg. 
2012-01-24 4:01 PM
in reply to: #4008519

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Coach
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Stairway to Seven
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
I'll be logging on at 6:30 to learn the result! Go get em.


2012-01-24 4:14 PM
in reply to: #4008788

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2012-01-24 4:32 PM
in reply to: #4008519

Veteran
204
100100
Massapequa, NY
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
make it 7:00-7:30pm!  pushed TT to 6pm.  my daughter (6yo) wanted to read to me first.  priorities!
2012-01-24 4:44 PM
in reply to: #4008860

Champion
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Rochester Hills, Michigan
Gold member
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test

Dlyon - 2012-01-24 5:32 PM make it 7:00-7:30pm!  pushed TT to 6pm.  my daughter (6yo) wanted to read to me first.  priorities!

That's gonna completely screw your taper!  I'm dropping my estimate by 10w.

2012-01-24 4:46 PM
in reply to: #4008519

Elite
7783
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PEI, Canada
Subject: RE: Guess Dlyon's Power for his first test
I chose 240 but my specific guess is 237
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