Survivor Philippines (yes, there will be spoilers) (Page 15)

I think he needs to win two. If he wins next, and gives the idol to Denise, hes in... because when it is 4, Denise will stick with him.... then it would be a tie if the other two wanted him off.... which they would. He can play his idol for sure next time, but if they get Denise, he HAS to win the next one. He is for sure the one to beat, but I don't see Denise turning on him.

So...what your saying is that he needs to win ONE of the next two immunities? :D  As in...he has one immunity challenge standing between him and a million bucks.

If he wins the next one, he gives his idol to denise like you said and he probably has the vote in Denise to stay (though that is NOT guaranteed...she could figure out that she stands no chance against Malcolm and votes him out).

If he doesn't win the next one, he'll have to use his idol and they'd all be crazy not to vote out Denise...so then Malcolm would HAVE to win the final one to get into final 3 because he'd have no votes.

I still think these people will come to their senses and realize they can't beat Malocolm...he's safe next round with his idol but he HAS to win the final immunity...HAS to.

Pretty much.

This has really been a good season. I was ready to stop watching after Colton, but this has been a great rebound.

I've been rewatching a bit of one-world and it's annoying the daylights out of me how HORRIBLE that cast was...all of them!  Except for Kim!  I mean, CBS pretty well casted that show to just hand a million bucks to Kim...because everyone else was useless and annoying!

That's the one reason I didn't think Carter had a REAL shot at winning...other than immunity challenges he really didn't speak up enough IMHO to be considered a strategist....

Jeff - Was always know as a big douche when he played ball. During Survivor(at least what we saw) he didn't come across that way at all. To me, he came across as a smart game-player, not douchey at all.Except for his exit interview. Yhe whole $60 million comment was a bit much.

Penner has always been one of my fav players. Penner & Rob C.

• Well, you can probably put it in the bank that Abi will NOT be voting for Denise for the million!  Shoot, Abi is so bitter, it would be interesting WHO she would vote for.
• I know my attitude is bad against her, but she even seemed pretty indifferent to her mom, especially after seeing some of the other contestants just about fall to pieces when their loved one showed up.
• I think Lisa becoming the "tough guy" now is a bit laughable...  like NOW she is going to play?
• I think Abi could just relax all the way to the final 3.  Don't even try to scheme.  Just coast.  But she will, thinking she can actually win.  Laughable.
• Oh, and I was worried they would not spend time on her at the reunion?  Now I bet they spend a LOT of time on her!
• I would like to get Denise's physical stats.  She is SO TINY!  Ripped, but tiny.  What, 5'2" and ripped?

I'm guessing that Skupin, Denise and Malcom have the most thinking to do...  Ideally, they probably want to go up with Lisa and Abi, so how do you get rid of the other two?  Can't get rid of Malcom, so blind side Denise?  It's the first of those three that approach Lisa and Abi and form a final 3 alliance.  And thinking about it, Skupin probably is in tighter with Lisa than anyone.  So he has her, and of COURSE Abi will follow just to stay alive.  With that logic, and if Skupin sees it, I think he wins it all.

I didn't think Jeff was a douche in the game, only in Ponderosa.  He won't play along and have fun and his creepy mustache needs to go.

Just solidifies how I feel about mustaches.

I think Skupin does see that.  He was immediately on board when Lisa suggested they go after Malcolm.  It's just a matter of putting themselves into a position where they can actually vote him (or Denise) off.  This is another reason they should have offed Denise. No way would Malcolm give Carter his idol, if he wins immunity, but I can't believe he wouldn't give it to Denise at that point. 

Yep.  That was their mega mistake last night.

They definitely need someone besides Malcolm to win immunity next time so that they can off Denise and get the numbers in their favor.

Unless of course Denise sees the light...she's smart...I will be highly disappointed if she doesn't see the light.  At this point the only vote she stands to lose by betraying Malcolm is Malcolms...and yet somehow I think he would understand.

She might be able to betray him in the final four, but he can't go home the next challange.

What would be interesting, is if Malcom wins again, then he could give it (or the immunity idol) to someone.  I wonder who...  Probably Denise and get rid of Skupin?

The way I see it breaking down:

If malcom gets to the end, he wins.

Denise can beat everyone except Malcom.  Get rid of him and make it to the final, has a good chance.

Skupin can only beat Lisa and Abi so needs to get rid of Malcom and Denise

Lisa's ONLY longshot is with Abi and Skupin (long shot per my previous commet).  She will lose to Denise and Malcom for sure.

Abi, well, is Abi, and would lose to pile of poop, if put up against it.

Good synopsis!

I agree.

I think it's a lot of selective editing on the producers part.  I miss Penner and his way with words.  I was sad that Jeff go voted out because he was actually playing but so is everyone else this season.  Good season, one of the best in a long time. 

Even when Boston Rob was on he ran a clinic of how to run the game but it was very predictable so no surprises.  This season you never know for sure.

Yep.

Preview for Wednesday (during last night's AR) shows Lisa potentially deciding that she should go to final tribal with Skupin and Abi...too bad she DIDN'T VOTE OUT DENISE LAST WEEK.

So...as we've all said...comes down to Malcolm and his ability to win immunity!  Should get interesting!

Sweet. That's what I thought.

I've been annoyed at the previews this year... usually there is a little misguidance... but this year... what ever is on the preview has nothing to do with the show. If you are just going to make stuff up, what's the point?

And....Lisa/Skupin just gave $1M to either Denise or Malcolm.

Can't say much else because I was only half watching (visiting friends).

They don't see Denise as a threat, only Malcolm.  Denise has a better chance of beating Malcolm for final immunity than Abi has...

On the boat Malcolm, Lisa, and Skupin all agreed they think Denise has the best shot at winning because she was at every tribal, she has not crossed anyone or betrayed anyone on the jury.

I suppose I could see that, and when it comes to risking a million bucks on it I would be un sure about finding out. But from where I sit, Denise has not really played hard either... compared to Malcolm. If Malcolm wins immunity, he wins hands down. If Malcolm is voted off, Denise wins against Skupin and Lisa. Period. Skupin beats Lisa. His only chance was voting Denise off last week and convincing the other two to vote off Malcolm if he does not win... that would have been Carter, Lisa, and Skupin.

I wonder who Penner was flipping off.

I'm a little bummed Malcolm turned on Denise. If he would have given her the idol (he didn't have to) I think it would have solidified his win. Perhaps Denise does not vote for him because of it... he takes the strongest player, and he is loyal to her from day one... beside all the other stuff he did.