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2011-07-11 6:48 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?

Cool results!

So what do people mean when they say a particular triathlon course is a "runner's course" or a "cyclist's course"?? You hear this in the ITU races when there's a particularly flat 10k... this is a "runner's course". 



2011-07-11 6:52 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?
AHare - 2011-07-11 8:41 PM

Swimming is next-to-useless


I disagree with this; while being a strong swimmer is not sufficient to ensure someone a high finishing position, being a weak swimmer almost always precludes a high finishing position.

Shane
2011-07-11 6:57 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?

gsmacleod - 2011-07-11 5:52 PM
AHare - 2011-07-11 8:41 PM Swimming is next-to-useless
I disagree with this; while being a strong swimmer is not sufficient to ensure someone a high finishing position, being a weak swimmer almost always precludes a high finishing position. Shane

And who's to say that, even though these results indicate runners = OA higher position, it might just be that these people are better TRIATHLETES because they've paced themselves well throughout the entirety of the race to finish strong. 

2011-07-11 7:00 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?

gsmacleod - 2011-07-11 8:52 PM
AHare - 2011-07-11 8:41 PM Swimming is next-to-useless
I disagree with this; while being a strong swimmer is not sufficient to ensure someone a high finishing position, being a weak swimmer almost always precludes a high finishing position. Shane

Yeah, being a strong swimmer lets me finish a race in a time similar to people who are way stronger cyclists and runners than I am - hardly useless when I have a head start of a few mins out of T1.

2011-07-11 7:01 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?
krystyna47 - 2011-07-11 5:57 PM

gsmacleod - 2011-07-11 5:52 PM
AHare - 2011-07-11 8:41 PM Swimming is next-to-useless
I disagree with this; while being a strong swimmer is not sufficient to ensure someone a high finishing position, being a weak swimmer almost always precludes a high finishing position. Shane

And who's to say that, even though these results indicate runners = OA higher position, it might just be that these people are better TRIATHLETES because they've paced themselves well throughout the entirety of the race to finish strong. 



I would opine that you are both right, it really depends on whether or not we are talking short course or long course triathlon. The swim is MUCH more important in an Olympic vs. a Half or full IM in predicting OA placing.
2011-07-11 7:03 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?
bryancd - 2011-07-11 9:01 PM

I would opine that you are both right, it really depends on whether or not we are talking short course or long course triathlon. The swim is MUCH more important in an Olympic vs. a Half or full IM in predicting OA placing.


While this is true, how many KQ'ers are swimming 1:30 and making up the differential by riding 4:45 and running 3:15?

Shane


2011-07-11 7:05 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?
krystyna47 - 2011-07-11 8:48 PM

Cool results!

So what do people mean when they say a particular triathlon course is a "runner's course" or a "cyclist's course"?? You hear this in the ITU races when there's a particularly flat 10k... this is a "runner's course". 



IME this is usually less due to the run course than the bike course; a hilly or technical bike course offers more opportunities for an athlete who is a stronger cyclist to do some damage (either through a time gap or just forcing other athletes to go harder than they would like) and give them a fighting chance on the run. OTOH, a flat, fast 40km bike leg where everyone sits in a peloton the entire time and every break is easily covered lets the strongest runners "sit in" and wait for the run.

Shane
2011-07-11 7:11 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?

I disagree with this; while being a strong swimmer is not sufficient to ensure someone a high finishing position, being a weak swimmer almost always precludes a high finishing position.

The key thing is the adjectives: being a poor swimmer precludes a high finishing position, true.  But being only a moderately-good cyclist or runner precludes a high finishing position.  You only have to swim well enough to get along, but you need to be a really good runner or cyclist to actually win.  Very few people have are good enough at the other two legs to survive being a "poor" runner or cyclist.

 

To actually answer the original question: Yes, I believe runners have the advantage.  They have a background in the more important of the two more-technical sports.  It seems it's not extremely hard to become competent at cycling (especially in AG where you can nearly spend your way to the front), but it is hard to become really good at running and swimming.



Edited by AHare 2011-07-11 7:17 PM
2011-07-11 7:15 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?

Yes, runners have an advantage.

The faster a biker goes, the more power it takes to overcome wind resistance. Runners don't have this issue, or at least not to the same extent.

Also, as someone who has been accused of being a strong biker I get passed on the run way too often

2011-07-11 7:31 PM
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2011-07-11 7:36 PM
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2011-07-11 7:37 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?
Fred Doucette - 2011-07-11 9:31 PM

Two words.... Josh Beck.

Well he swam over 1:20 at IMKY last year and was 7th overall counting pro's.

You asked.



I did and of course there are always exceptions; however, this is not the standard and for the most part the athletes who have the best finishing position are the best triathletes being quite capable in all three sports.

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2011-07-11 7:38 PM
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2011-07-11 7:38 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?

AGREED!   ^^^^^^

Josh Beck is crazy fast.  blows my mind how he could run like that at Savageman last year.  nice guy too. i buy some stuff from his shop from time to time.

2011-07-11 7:41 PM
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2011-07-11 7:42 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?
Fred Doucette - 2011-07-11 8:31 PM

gsmacleod - 2011-07-11 8:03 PM
bryancd - 2011-07-11 9:01 PM I would opine that you are both right, it really depends on whether or not we are talking short course or long course triathlon. The swim is MUCH more important in an Olympic vs. a Half or full IM in predicting OA placing.
While this is true, how many KQ'ers are swimming 1:30 and making up the differential by riding 4:45 and running 3:15? Shane

Two words.... Josh Beck.

Well he swam over 1:20 at IMKY last year and was 7th overall counting pro's.

You asked.

But, his abysmal swimming is why he's a star duathlete, not a star triathete. The guy is a beast on the bike and run.


2011-07-11 7:51 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?
gsmacleod - 2011-07-11 6:37 PM

Fred Doucette - 2011-07-11 9:31 PM

Two words.... Josh Beck.

Well he swam over 1:20 at IMKY last year and was 7th overall counting pro's.

You asked.



I did and of course there are always exceptions; however, this is not the standard and for the most part the athletes who have the best finishing position are the best triathletes being quite capable in all three sports.

Shane


Your example Shane is also way outside the norm, suggesting someone who swims that slow bikes and rundown that fast. I don't see. My post still stands, in general thevrace distance is way more germaine to the discussion.
2011-07-11 7:51 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?
Double post...



Edited by bryancd 2011-07-11 7:52 PM
2011-07-11 8:21 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?
wushunut - 2011-07-11 3:40 PM

The "saving legs" thread reminded me of a question I had a while ago watching different races on TV.

I've heard that "you can't win on the swim but you can lose there."

But then you get to the bike portion and naturally the stronger bikers take the lead but they always seem to get caught on the run.

My perception is that stronger runners (if they "don't lose on the swim" and are decent cyclists) will always have the advantage over strong swimmers or even strong cyclists.

So what do you guys think?  While I understand that each leg is important, it just seems that running strong is more "important" than the others.

 

While I ahve not done a study on the matter or anything official like that...it would seem to me to be true!  Yes, a good runner still has to be able to swim and bike well, but I do think they have the advantage.  Just look at the elite ITU series, it seems like it always comes down to the run!

2011-07-11 8:29 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?

   I did notice something about the race results from my last OLY race in June. 

1.) Not all of the top ten finishers finished top ten in the swim.

2.) Not all of the top ten finishers were one of the top ten runners.

3.) BUT...8 of the top ten finishers were also within the top ten on the bike portion.

   This could just be a coincidence, but it could also point to what others have said about the bike portion being what we spend the most time on in a race (non-draft-legal). 

2011-07-11 8:31 PM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?

Here's an intersting post at Slowtwitch about what Criag Alexander has to say about the bike and run.

http://www.slowtwitch.com/News/Craig_Alexander_says_his_best_is_yet_to_come__2181.html



2011-07-12 5:36 AM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?
bryancd - 2011-07-11 9:51 PM

Your example Shane is also way outside the norm, suggesting someone who swims that slow bikes and rundown that fast. I don't see. My post still stands, in general thevrace distance is way more germaine to the discussion.


My example was way outside the norm however that was my point; while one can debate at length whether swimmers, cyclists or runners have the advantage, at the end of the day it is rare that someone who is not strong in all three sports is able to enjoy a high finishing position whether short or long course.

I agree that the swim is less emphasized in long course racing, my point was simply that despite this, the feeling that the swim is not important to overall race performance does not usually hold up in racing.

Shane
2011-07-12 5:42 AM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?
evb4mvp - 2011-07-11 6:00 PM

usually the strong runners have the advantage but races can also be won on the bike! strong bikers can win and do place on the podium, norman stadler won the world championships off the bike,



While Normann had great rides the years he won, he also had really good swim and run legs; he is far from just a great cyclist.

chris lieto nearly won a few years back.


I would say that Chris Lieto has never been close to winning IMH; while I give him credit for playing the hand he has been dealt, I don't expect to see him on the top step of the podium in Kona.

its all about balance, perfecting the swim bike run and nutrition are what it takes to win and at least how i view it all are equally important


Completely agree with this; the best triathletes win race and it is rare that one can be weak in any leg of the race and still be competitive.

Shane

Edited by gsmacleod 2011-07-12 5:53 AM
2011-07-12 5:53 AM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?
Kermat89 - 2011-07-11 10:21 PM

While I ahve not done a study on the matter or anything official like that...it would seem to me to be true!  Yes, a good runner still has to be able to swim and bike well, but I do think they have the advantage.  Just look at the elite ITU series, it seems like it always comes down to the run!



The reason why ITU events (and other triathlons) are often won on the run is because it is the event that comes last; if the sport was arranged in a different order than we would say the bike or swim was the most important.

Also, if it was all about the run, then an athlete like Tim Don should be ranked much higher as, of the athletes who are currently racing ITU, he has one of the fastest open 10k's in the field. Despite this, he is only ranked 22nd in the world (and 4th in his country) which would indicate that it is about more than just the run.

Shane
2011-07-12 8:52 AM
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Subject: RE: Do runners have the advantage?
AHare - 2011-07-11 7:41 PM

Ask and you shall receive; these are from an Oly distance race a few years ago with just 

Awesome.  I just finished parsing data and wasn't looking forward to remembering how to use R (http://www.r-project.org/) for stats analysis.

That fits in with my own judgement: Swimming is next-to-useless, and cycling/running are important, with a slight edge to running.

The correlations are interesting, and one finds similar results from analyses of other events. But it would be misleading to conclude from this that swimming is not useful. One reason why the run and bike placings are so highly correlated with overall placings is that they are also highly correlated with one another. Performance in all 3 events depends on general aerobic ability, plus various sport-specific factors, such as swimming technique, bike aerodynamics, etc. The sport-specific factors are more important in swimming, unsurprisingly, and probably less important in running. Running times are highly predictive of overall placement not so much because running-specific skills are important, but because running relies so heavily on a factor that is important throughout the race, general aerobic ability. Run-specific skill may not be particularly important. In contrast, swim times are more strongly impacted by swim-specific skills, and that is why they are less predictive of overall placements. 

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