whats going on in the arctic (Page 4)
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2016-02-24 10:30 AM in reply to: 0 |
Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic I'm an outdoor loving, tree-hugger at heart, so I try to be conscious of how to have a smaller footprint (though I know I could do a lot better). A couple things that haven't been mentioned yet: Re-usable bags for grocery shopping. Fish is my favorite protein & I eat it more than a couple of times a week. A few years ago, I started only buying fish that is a Monterey Bay Aquarium Seafood Watch "best choice." Seafood labeling has improved over the last few years, so it's much easier than it used to be. Ok, water quality posters, I've found conflicting reports about whether or not flushing my dog's waste is the best solution for the environment. I'm on a city sewer system & not a septic tank. Any thoughts? I pick it all up anyway, so flushing really wouldn't be any different than trashing it for me. Edited by Boilermaker 2016-02-24 10:34 AM |
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2016-02-24 10:36 AM in reply to: tuwood |
Master 4101 Denver | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic Originally posted by tuwood another check. Mine are not only programmable but they're wireless so I can turn them off when I forget while we're traveling. I've got two furnace/ac units in the house, so my initial logic was cost. however, I will admit it's nice to be able to turn the furnace up or down when my wife says she's hot/cold without even having to get off the couch. lol (back to that lazy thing again) i also buy a couple chords of wood in the winter so we can burn our fireplace a lot. I'm not sure if that's a net good or bad for my green score, but it does save a lot of electricity and gas. Sweet. We have a Nest which you can access through an app on your phone. It can sense when you aren't home and will automatically turn the heat down if you go out. We have a wood stove too which we love. Basically, if the wood you're burning comes from deforestation it's not green. If the trees are replaced, which is likely, it's neutral. Since you guys are so green I assume you have the right amount of insulation in your houses. That's another pretty easy one. We have Solar City in Colorado and they have a new plan where you purchase a solar system (heh) via a loan from them and then you pay the loan through the savings. So essentially you pay the same or slightly lower electric rates, but all your electricity is coming from the sun and when the loan is paid off you own the system (and only have to pay for electricity you use over what your system produces) and it's an asset when you sell your house. I checked though and it doesn't look like Solar City operates in Nebraska or Missouri. |
2016-02-24 11:02 AM in reply to: drewb8 |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic Originally posted by drewb8 Originally posted by tuwood another check. Mine are not only programmable but they're wireless so I can turn them off when I forget while we're traveling. I've got two furnace/ac units in the house, so my initial logic was cost. however, I will admit it's nice to be able to turn the furnace up or down when my wife says she's hot/cold without even having to get off the couch. lol (back to that lazy thing again) i also buy a couple chords of wood in the winter so we can burn our fireplace a lot. I'm not sure if that's a net good or bad for my green score, but it does save a lot of electricity and gas. Sweet. We have a Nest which you can access through an app on your phone. It can sense when you aren't home and will automatically turn the heat down if you go out. We have a wood stove too which we love. Basically, if the wood you're burning comes from deforestation it's not green. If the trees are replaced, which is likely, it's neutral. Since you guys are so green I assume you have the right amount of insulation in your houses. That's another pretty easy one. We have Solar City in Colorado and they have a new plan where you purchase a solar system (heh) via a loan from them and then you pay the loan through the savings. So essentially you pay the same or slightly lower electric rates, but all your electricity is coming from the sun and when the loan is paid off you own the system (and only have to pay for electricity you use over what your system produces) and it's an asset when you sell your house. I checked though and it doesn't look like Solar City operates in Nebraska or Missouri. I always buy our wood from the contractor who does tree trimming/cutting for the city. I would guess it's fairly neutral because it's from felled trees from storm damage that typically get replaced. When we built our house 13 years ago I was adamant about the insulation from not only heating/cooling but also sound. I even insulated most interior walls for soundproofing, but also discovered it's nice when the furnace is off downstairs at night because the heat stays in the part of the house I want it. |
2016-02-24 4:15 PM in reply to: Left Brain |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic Originally posted by Left Brain Originally posted by tuwood Originally posted by Left Brain I was thinking about this thread today in regard to what I do personally to help the environment, if anything. I actually do a number of things. I don't litter. I don't flush drugs into the toilet. We have traded all of our big cars/suvs for cars that are very fuel effcient......and the biggest thing I do....I ALWAYS cut the rings of a plastic 6 pack holder so no animal/bird gets trapped in one of them. (this is HUGE.....I could wipe out entire flocks/herds if I didn't) So what do YOU do? My wife does that too. I usually make fun of her for it. lol Oh, believe me......I was bullied into it. One of my twins saw a picture of a bird wrapped up in a six pack holder and from that day forward I was evil incarnate. LOL You know, I've said before how my wife is a born and raised Bezerkely, Ca. girl. She won't kill a spider or moth in our house......traps them and takes them outside (I know.....but you get used to it). Once of the funniest things that happened as my kids were growing up was the day they trapped their own moth and took it outside with great fanfare. With all of the pride 3 kids aged 4-7 can muster they released the moth. I had gone outside on the deck with them because they were so obviously thrilled. That moth went straight up in the air....maybe 50 feet or so as my kids cheered. A bird came by and ate it right out of mid air. The crying was unreal........I just went inside. haha, AFV just posted this on Facebook
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2016-02-24 5:24 PM in reply to: tuwood |
2016-02-24 5:41 PM in reply to: Left Brain |
Champion 7821 Brooklyn, NY | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic My biggest contribution to the environment is that I take mass transit to and from work every single day and we almost never drive anywhere. Most people I know in NYC without kids don't even have cars. We have a car, but we almost never use it. It's 11 years old and I think we just hit 40,000 miles. We also recycle all of our organic kitchen garbage (ie food waste) and it goes in separate cans and gets collected separately from cans, paper, and regular garbage. It's a new thing. |
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2016-03-03 12:11 PM in reply to: 0 |
Master 4101 Denver | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic In case anyone's interested in an update - Feb 2016 just set the record for the hottest month ever above normal (+1.5* F above) - in the satellite record ("Whopping(!)" as Roy Spencer, the overseer of the dataset said). This is not unexpected since the satellite records shows slower warming than surface measurements and generally lags surface warming since it takes time for the heat to get up in the atmosphere to where the satellites measure. A couple of notes - this is a single spike. Huge, yes, and likely driven (though not entirely) by a record el nino (which itself is likely made stronger by climate change - we know that about 90% of the extra heat the earth retains goes into the oceans. Occasionally, like now, it comes back out) , but the long term record is what we really care about. Unfortunately when you compare only years with an el nino, there is the same warming trend that we see when you compare only neutral years and only la nina years. A record warm month like this is eye catching, but it's the long term trend that is dangerous. Another interesting thing is that the northern hemisphere was 2.11*F above the long term avg according to satellites, driven by crazy temps in the arctic. Some parts of the arctic had a avg Feb temp almost 30* F above normal! That's not for one day, it's the entire month. That's interesting because not only is the arctic warming twice as fast as the rest of the globe, it is also much less influenced by el nino / la ninas. Another thing to note is that contrary to the latest skeptics talking points, satellite data aren't the end-all-and-be-all of measurement. They actually have significantly higher uncertainties than ground based measurements due to a number of factors (orbits drift, altitudes change, sensors need recalibration, you are comparing data between different satellites since several different satellites have been operating since 1978). And most importantly, they measure the temperature 6 miles up, not where we actually live. Satellite data are useful because they provide an additional data point and in this case, they're showing the exact same thing that ground based measurements are seeing. Edited by drewb8 2016-03-03 12:12 PM |
2016-03-03 1:22 PM in reply to: drewb8 |
Master 2802 Minnetonka, Minnesota | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic I read that article this morning as well, thanks for posting. |
2016-03-03 2:32 PM in reply to: drewb8 |
Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic |
2016-03-03 2:54 PM in reply to: crusevegas |
Master 4101 Denver | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic Originally posted by crusevegas You're right, poor wording. Since instrument measurement began, so for satellite data since 1978. For reliable ground-based data, about 130 years.When you say the hottest month ever, how many years does "ever" consist of?
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2016-03-03 4:54 PM in reply to: drewb8 |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic Here's a decent graph that shows it in context with the last 30 years: I don't think there's anyone whose seriously arguing that things aren't warming, but I do find it a little interesting that in comparison to the 1998 "El Nino of the Century" we're .74 degree C warmer this year. You are absolutely correct that the overall Trend is what really matters, so I'll be curious how the La Nina looks in the next few years in comparison to 1998. Another interesting point of inclusion is how the rest of the world wasn't anywhere near as "warm" as the arctic and especially Europe. Here's the global satellite(top) and surface(bottom) picture for February: |
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2016-03-03 5:02 PM in reply to: drewb8 |
Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic Originally posted by drewb8 Originally posted by crusevegas You're right, poor wording. Since instrument measurement began, so for satellite data since 1978. For reliable ground-based data, about 130 years.When you say the hottest month ever, how many years does "ever" consist of?
Thanks, cause I know according to the bible it's been at least 2,000 years or so. |
2016-03-03 5:07 PM in reply to: crusevegas |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic Originally posted by crusevegas Originally posted by drewb8 Originally posted by crusevegas You're right, poor wording. Since instrument measurement began, so for satellite data since 1978. For reliable ground-based data, about 130 years.When you say the hottest month ever, how many years does "ever" consist of?
Thanks, cause I know according to the bible it's been at least 2,000 years or so. lol, yeah that. |
2016-03-03 5:33 PM in reply to: tuwood |
Master 4101 Denver | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic Originally posted by tuwood Here's a decent graph that shows it in context with the last 30 years: I don't think there's anyone whose seriously arguing that things aren't warming, but I do find it a little interesting that in comparison to the 1998 "El Nino of the Century" we're .74 degree C warmer this year. You are absolutely correct that the overall Trend is what really matters, so I'll be curious how the La Nina looks in the next few years in comparison to 1998. Another interesting point of inclusion is how the rest of the world wasn't anywhere near as "warm" as the arctic and especially Europe. Here's the global satellite(top) and surface(bottom) picture for February: 1998 definitely was the el nino of the century - last century . 1998 was an el nino year, so I don't really know why you'd want to compare the next la nina to it, unless you mean it'll be interesting to see that what we used to consider a "super" el nino warming soon will be beaten even in the cooler la nina years. Here's a chart from NASA if it helps that shows the warming during the different ENSO cycles (note - 2015 should actually be a red el nino year, I think it wasn't official when they made this).
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2016-03-04 11:35 AM in reply to: tuwood |
Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic Originally posted by tuwood Originally posted by crusevegas Originally posted by drewb8 Originally posted by crusevegas You're right, poor wording. Since instrument measurement began, so for satellite data since 1978. For reliable ground-based data, about 130 years.When you say the hottest month ever, how many years does "ever" consist of?
Thanks, cause I know according to the bible it's been at least 2,000 years or so. lol, yeah that. i don't know when the "Ice Age" was, the first or second century or before but, I do know, if it wasn't for Global Warming, the earth would still be in the Ice Age. That was such a good tag line,,,,,, very sad when I was forced to remove it. :-( |
2016-03-04 1:16 PM in reply to: crusevegas |
Master 4101 Denver | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic Originally posted by crusevegas The last ice age ended about 12,000 years ago.i don't know when the "Ice Age" was, the first or second century or before but, I do know, if it wasn't for Global Warming, the earth would still be in the Ice Age. That was such a good tag line,,,,,, very sad when I was forced to remove it. :-( Also, if it weren't for global cooling there would still be crocodiles and palm trees at the north pole, which would probably surprise the hell out of the eskimos. |
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2016-03-04 2:50 PM in reply to: drewb8 |
Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic Originally posted by drewb8 Originally posted by crusevegas The last ice age ended about 12,000 years ago.i don't know when the "Ice Age" was, the first or second century or before but, I do know, if it wasn't for Global Warming, the earth would still be in the Ice Age. That was such a good tag line,,,,,, very sad when I was forced to remove it. :-( Also, if it weren't for global cooling there would still be crocodiles and palm trees at the north pole, which would probably surprise the hell out of the eskimos. Oh Man! You're gonna make my head explode, 12,000 years, who knew the earth was that old?!? I guess I'll have to blame it on Catholic school education. I thought it was Global Warming and now you bring out this hidden gem "global cooling"!! When was that, before the ice age or after? Honestly, I'm ok with this warming trend, Global Warming, Climate Change, whatever the correct term is today. ....... Don't get me wrong, I don't mind the cold, until it gets below 80!! |
2016-03-04 2:54 PM in reply to: crusevegas |
Pro 15655 | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic I've got 4 more years until I retire......more water means more fishing!! I believe I'm in favor of warming. |
2016-03-04 3:53 PM in reply to: crusevegas |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic Originally posted by crusevegas Originally posted by drewb8 Originally posted by crusevegas The last ice age ended about 12,000 years ago.i don't know when the "Ice Age" was, the first or second century or before but, I do know, if it wasn't for Global Warming, the earth would still be in the Ice Age. That was such a good tag line,,,,,, very sad when I was forced to remove it. :-( Also, if it weren't for global cooling there would still be crocodiles and palm trees at the north pole, which would probably surprise the hell out of the eskimos. Oh Man! You're gonna make my head explode, 12,000 years, who knew the earth was that old?!? I guess I'll have to blame it on Catholic school education. I thought it was Global Warming and now you bring out this hidden gem "global cooling"!! When was that, before the ice age or after? Honestly, I'm ok with this warming trend, Global Warming, Climate Change, whatever the correct term is today. ....... Don't get me wrong, I don't mind the cold, until it gets below 80!! This is a depiction of the Greenland ice core temperatures over the last 11,000 years. To be clear, this isn't a global temperature measurement it's just for greenland. However, it is kind of interesting to see how temperatures there have gone up and down through the various events in history. |
2016-03-04 5:45 PM in reply to: 0 |
Master 4101 Denver | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic Originally posted by tuwood It's worth noting that that graph was produced to be intentionally misleading. The data are correct but it's display is pretty dishonest. A quick look at it will make you think that today's temperature is just below 0.0 relative to current (which if you know anything about the warming were seeing makes no sense). But the problem is "current", aka the end of the graph, is actually 1855 (it takes a while for snow to compact into ice and make it into an ice core). If the author was NOT trying to be intentionally misleading the black line across the graph that is supposed to be today ("current") would actually be up around +1.44*. Or at least in 2009 it would. Probably higher now. So contrary to what that manipulation is trying to trick you into believing, most of the last 9000 years in Greenland have NOT been warmer than present. But like you said, that is just one data spot and provides little information as to what is going on globally. This is a depiction of the Greenland ice core temperatures over the last 11,000 years. To be clear, this isn't a global temperature measurement it's just for greenland. However, it is kind of interesting to see how temperatures there have gone up and down through the various events in history. Here's what the actual author of the dataset had to say about it ""Whether temperatures have been warmer or colder in the past is largely irrelevant to the impacts of the ongoing warming. If you don’t care about humans and the other species here, global warming may not be all that important; nature has caused warmer and colder times in the past, and life survived. But, those warmer and colder times did not come when there were almost seven billion people living as we do. The best science says that if our warming becomes large, its influences on us will be primarily negative, and the temperature of the Holocene or the Cretaceous has no bearing on that. " But eventually it'll be about 10 million degrees on earth, so I'm guessing that'll probably set the record. Edited by drewb8 2016-03-04 5:46 PM |
2016-03-04 7:03 PM in reply to: drewb8 |
Pro 9391 Omaha, NE | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic Originally posted by drewb8 Originally posted by tuwood It's worth noting that that graph was produced to be intentionally misleading. The data are correct but it's display is pretty dishonest. A quick look at it will make you think that today's temperature is just below 0.0 relative to current (which if you know anything about the warming were seeing makes no sense). But the problem is "current", aka the end of the graph, is actually 1855 (it takes a while for snow to compact into ice and make it into an ice core). If the author was NOT trying to be intentionally misleading the black line across the graph that is supposed to be today ("current") would actually be up around +1.44*. Or at least in 2009 it would. Probably higher now. So contrary to what that manipulation is trying to trick you into believing, most of the last 9000 years in Greenland have NOT been warmer than present. But like you said, that is just one data spot and provides little information as to what is going on globally. This is a depiction of the Greenland ice core temperatures over the last 11,000 years. To be clear, this isn't a global temperature measurement it's just for greenland. However, it is kind of interesting to see how temperatures there have gone up and down through the various events in history. Here's what the actual author of the dataset had to say about it ""Whether temperatures have been warmer or colder in the past is largely irrelevant to the impacts of the ongoing warming. If you don’t care about humans and the other species here, global warming may not be all that important; nature has caused warmer and colder times in the past, and life survived. But, those warmer and colder times did not come when there were almost seven billion people living as we do. The best science says that if our warming becomes large, its influences on us will be primarily negative, and the temperature of the Holocene or the Cretaceous has no bearing on that. " But eventually it'll be about 10 million degrees on earth, so I'm guessing that'll probably set the record. Yeah, there's no question the Greenland data gets taken out of context a ton. It would be awesome if we had satellite data over the last 10,000 years, but those dang Atlantians didn't build their satellites good enough to last that long. grr One thing that I do find interesting is the true global effects of warming. There's so much conflicting information with heavy political influences out there it's hard to get real solid data. Obviously higher CO2 does cause benefits and us two legged creatures tend to do much better job of surviving when it's warm out versus when it's cold out. Obviously there are huge implications with food supply and water supplies, so I'm not naive enough to say that all is better with a warmer planet, but I do find the studies of it very interesting. |
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2016-03-04 11:18 PM in reply to: tuwood |
Master 4101 Denver | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic Originally posted by tuwood It's actually not that hard to get good information. Most scientific journalism in mainstream publications (for example, most newpapers) is pretty good because it has been vetted and fact checked, just stay away from the op-ed pages where facts are usually optional. For more in-depth scientific writing magazines like Scientific American are good sources. There are a number of web pages that slant one way (realclimate or climate central for example) but do a great job of sticking to the facts and explaining difficult information. And of course there's the primary literature which is easily searchable, and you can always get an abstract even though a lot of the papers are behind pay walls. Yeah, there's no question the Greenland data gets taken out of context a ton. It would be awesome if we had satellite data over the last 10,000 years, but those dang Atlantians didn't build their satellites good enough to last that long. grr One thing that I do find interesting is the true global effects of warming. There's so much conflicting information with heavy political influences out there it's hard to get real solid data. Obviously higher CO2 does cause benefits and us two legged creatures tend to do much better job of surviving when it's warm out versus when it's cold out. Obviously there are huge implications with food supply and water supplies, so I'm not naive enough to say that all is better with a warmer planet, but I do find the studies of it very interesting. I agree that the effects are really where it's at, and unfortunately, they are harder to predict than the warming. The scary thing to me is that in almost all of the cases we are seeing effects happening much sooner than expected and happen much faster than expected. I agree that the over the top "alarmists" can really hurt the conversation, but so far, we are definitely trending more towards the serious consequences side of the spectrum than the "it's overblown" side. And yes, there will be some positive benefits, but these are usually overblown as well. For example, yes, warming will mean that conditions will be favorable for agriculture in large parts of Russia and Canada. but what people counting that as a blessing fail to realize is that most of the northern forests have peat for soil which is crap for crowing corn in. The rate of change feels slow to us as humans, but in terms of the earth, the warming we're seeing now is faster than anything we've seen before (even farther back than 2000 years!) and is going to happen too fast for many species to adapt. And as I mentioned before this is a one way ticket. If we get 30 years down the road and find that our crops are failing left and right, droughts are forcing migrants across our border, sea level rise is causing coastal cities to flood every 5 years, well too bad. That's how it's going to be for the next 1,000 years. This hope that things won't be that bad (or maybe even better) despite what all the experts are saying may have been viable in the past, but with the effects we're already seeing happen now and the predictions not only coming true. but happening faster than we thought, that strategy is just reckless. |
2016-03-04 11:36 PM in reply to: drewb8 |
Master 4101 Denver | Subject: RE: whats going on in the arctic And I'll also say that that stuff we talked about before - the LED bulbs, the insulation, etc., that stuff is important. No, you switching a bulb to an LED isn't going to solve the problem, but it's a part of the solution, and that stuff adds up. So encourage your friends and neighbors and family to do it too. If nothing else it'l save them some $. |
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