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Guess my Ironman New Zealand time.
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 2010-02-19 1:24 AM |
Regular  99  Rancho Cucamonga, CA |  Subject: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time.It'll be my first IM. My longest distance prior to this is an Olympic back on 11/7/09 it was the Big Rock Olympic and I finished in 2:44:40, 4th outta 9 in my AG and 69th OA outta 157. Race is March 6th, Just a little over 2 weeks out. You can check my logs for pace but much of it has been well below LT. Still gotta work out a pace with my coach. That being said I'll send a IMNZ T Shirt (size L) to whoever get's the closest. Cheers, Robert |
| 2010-02-19 2:13 AM in reply to: #2681106 |
Bob 2194  Binghamton, NY | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. I would love to get out and do that race sometime! Congrats on getting through the journey of training for your first IM, very well done. Enjoy every moment of the race, soak in the atmosphere and thank the volunteers. Keep in mind that this is not a race but an event and try to stay on top of your nutrition and hydration and you will have a great day. GOOD LUCK!! My prediction from your logs is going to be: Swim - 1:30:00 T1 - 12:00 Bike - 6:30:00 T2 - 10:00 Run - 5:10:00 Total Time - 13:32:00 |
| 2010-02-19 4:28 AM in reply to: #2681106 |
| Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. I'll take a guess at...hmmm 14:30 I think you could go faster, but being that you have only done an olympic, you'll play it safe. |
| 2010-02-19 7:53 AM in reply to: #2681141 |
Expert 617 | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. Oooh fun! I'm going to say 14:07. I would venture to guess that IMNZ is a beautiful race and will be an amazing experience. I hope you have a great race! |
| 2010-02-19 8:10 AM in reply to: #2681141 |
Veteran 201 A van down by the river | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. 13:58 and some change. I think you see the 14 hour mark and try to sneak in just under it. |
| 2010-02-19 8:38 AM in reply to: #2681106 |
Master 1547 | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. 13:20 |
| 2010-02-19 8:46 AM in reply to: #2681106 |
| Veteran 662 Madison, Alabama | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. I'm gonna throw out a time of 14:31. This is based off of a complex mathematical formula I have devised over the course of many years of research looking at logs and post count. I call the formula "Bull$hit". Kevin |
| 2010-02-19 8:47 AM in reply to: #2681106 |
Expert 1706 NoVA | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. 13:15 Enjoy the day!!! And I'm looking forward to your RR since like Bob---that's a race I'd love to do someday................ |
| 2010-02-19 8:54 AM in reply to: #2681393 |
Expert 834 Medina, MN | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. Race of your life... 8:59. |
| 2010-02-19 8:57 AM in reply to: #2681106 |
| Extreme Veteran 502 Washington | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. |
| 2010-02-19 9:10 AM in reply to: #2681106 |
Extreme Veteran 425 | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. Hmmmm..using my rookie formula.... 1 hour 38 minutes swim 11 minutes 30 second T1 6 hours 35 minutes Bike 12 minute T2 5 hour 32 minute run Total = 14:08 and some change....... Of course this is all dependent on the moon phase and tidal currents at that time of the race...and if you have dimpled tires.... |
| 2010-02-19 9:19 AM in reply to: #2681115 |
Iron Donkey 38643 , Wisconsin | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. rstocks3 - 2010-02-19 2:13 AM I would love to get out and do that race sometime! Congrats on getting through the journey of training for your first IM, very well done. Enjoy every moment of the race, soak in the atmosphere and thank the volunteers. Keep in mind that this is not a race but an event and try to stay on top of your nutrition and hydration and you will have a great day. GOOD LUCK!! My prediction from your logs is going to be: Swim - 1:30:00 T1 - 12:00 Bike - 6:30:00 T2 - 10:00 Run - 5:10:00 Total Time - 13:32:00 Here's an Ironman New Zealand course calculator - Looking at accumulated totals (posted below) of past time and mileage, I noticed that in the last 2 months you did the following less or more than what you did in all of last year: You ramped it up fast, but will that help you in the endurance overall? Weather could be a factor, too. If you can sustain the same pace of your Oly time and carry that to a HIM, that would shoot you around a 5 hr 30 min. timeframe. Now, doubling that and adding an hour would get you around the 12 hour mark (rough guesstimation prediction time). Being that you haven't accomplished a race beyond an Oly and having the endurance numbers, I'll add at least another 1-1/2 hours, getting you to 13 hr. 30 min. But, with all other factors, except for sure will and tenacity, I'm tacking on another 30 min. to make your final time 14 hours. Good luck and surprise us. Remember, have fun and make the most of the day!
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| 2010-02-19 9:29 AM in reply to: #2681106 |
Master 2158 | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. Can I predict how much beer you will drink at the end? |
| 2010-02-19 12:10 PM in reply to: #2681106 |
Regular 99 Rancho Cucamonga, CA | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. Thanks for the encouraging words, can't believe it's almost here. I get butterflies just thinking about it. I'm gonna try for sub 13 but this being my first, just finishing is the #1 priority. |
| 2010-02-19 12:12 PM in reply to: #2681499 |
Regular 99 Rancho Cucamonga, CA | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. eliwashere - 2010-02-19 7:29 AM Can I predict how much beer you will drink at the end? Ha, yeah but I probably won't remember. |
| 2010-02-19 12:30 PM in reply to: #2681106 |
| Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. |
| 2010-02-19 12:34 PM in reply to: #2681106 |
Veteran 237 Eastern WA | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. 14:28:56 |
| 2010-02-19 12:50 PM in reply to: #2681106 |
Champion 5781 Northridge, California | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. From your logs, I'd say about 13:25. |
| 2010-02-19 1:12 PM in reply to: #2681106 |
Extreme Veteran 378 Seattle | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. 13:51. Good luck! |
| 2010-02-19 1:21 PM in reply to: #2681392 |
| Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. Kevin_MS - 2010-02-19 4:46 AM I'm gonna throw out a time of 14:31. This is based off of a complex mathematical formula I have devised over the course of many years of research looking at logs and post count. I call the formula "Bull$hit". Kevin YOU JMINPNW - 2010-02-19 8:34 AM 14:28:56 AND YOU...SUCK  Now I have no chance at the T-Shirt. I guessed 14:30. I feel like I'm on the price is right. |
| 2010-02-19 1:24 PM in reply to: #2681106 |
Veteran 201 Chilliwack B.C | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. I'm going to say 14 hrs. First one, so pace it to finish still smiling at the end. |
| 2010-02-19 1:31 PM in reply to: #2682183 |
Expert 1099 Bedford, NH | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. I'm going with 13:35:23. Best of luck!!! |
| 2010-02-19 1:55 PM in reply to: #2681106 |
Expert 1007 NW NJ | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. He'll destroy 14hrs! He's dedicated! I'm going to say! 1:20:13 - S 00:11:23 - T1 6:38:22 - B 00:18:43 - T2 4:58:23 - R Total - 13:27:04 Good Luck! Have Fun! Enjoy the experience! |
| 2010-02-19 1:58 PM in reply to: #2681106 |
| Veteran 867 Vicksburg | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. 13:41:28 |
| 2010-02-19 2:03 PM in reply to: #2681417 |
| Expert 950 Ann Arbor | Subject: RE: Guess my Ironman New Zealand time. |
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